Market Review and Trends
EU debt woes and China’s credit tightening weaknen markets globally…
By Kevin Scully-Financial Blog  •  May 6, 2010
[caption id="attachment_4021" align="alignright" width="150" caption="Photo by CoreBurn"]Photo by CoreBurn[/caption]
..global investors look jittery......should you lighten or sit tight and let the storm pass ??
EU debt woes and China's credit tightening and potential re-capitalisation of its banks caused Asian markets to decline yesterday....Singapore was one of the worst hit among Asian markets. Overnight, we saw sharp declines in US and EU markets again on concerns about the worsening EU debt crisis. Although Greece has already agreed on a debt restructuring plan with the EU and IMF, this has led to civil protests which the "bears" take to me that it will need more refinancing down the road. There is also a growing fear that the debt problems will spread to other PIGS which in total will be about 3.7% of world GDP. Of the PIGS, Spain s the biggest at 2.4% - the other three are tiny. So unless Spain cracks - which their Prime Minister has denied, then we might see a slightly bigger ripple effect. Again the quantum of the amount to rescue is small relative to what was needed to save or rescue some of the US corporates. So its probably just an excuse for investors to take profit and more so institutional investors. The decision by New Centiury to withdraw its Singapore IPO probably means that the international book building was weak.....not surprising given the volatile global markets. The other possible reason is an impending re-capitalisation of Chinese banks to meet new capital requirements which may such some liquidity out of the system. Blue chips are likely to see more selling pressure in the coming weaks as the volatility starts to rise....keep a look out for the VIX. Read more...
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By Kevin Scully-Financial Blog
Kevin began his working life in the regional and economics division of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. He then moved to the private sector analyzing equities before venturing out to start NRA Capital. After 25 years of watching stocks and living through financial disarray during the Pan Electric Crisis, the 1987 Crash, the Barings debacle, the Gulf War, Asian financial crisis - what can sub-prime do but add another scar to already bruised wounds. Ever since starting his blog, Kevin has been enthusiastically giving his personal views on the market. He discusses about equities, the market turmoil, and the broad economy.
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