Technical Analysis
Long Term Market Analysis: Some insights into the rally intensity of this bull run
By Investment Moats  •  February 26, 2011


Readers would note that although a lot of the research and commentaries on this site is fundamental based, there is an element of behavioral commentaries as well.

I believe behavioral and technical analysis or information is required as well because, at the end of the day the market is made up of people, groups carrying out demand and supply.

What determines price of certain companies is not just valuation but the herd’s valuation.

We have had good run since putting in the bottom at 666 in April ‘09. Barry Ritholtz highlighted the Chart Store’s S&P  Composite 102 Week Rolling Returns here.

 Long Term Market Analysis: Some insights into the rally intensity of this bull run 102 week rolling returns

The commentary pretty much explains it.  In a follow up, Ritholtz provided another data set which shows subsequent returns from these 102 returns  greater than 100%

Long Term Market Analysis: Some insights into the rally intensity of this bull run 2 18 11 Table of SP 102 week rolling returns

You would notice that most of the returns are pretty abysmal. As noted by a reader on his site, these data ...

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By Investment Moats
Investment Moats is set up by Kyith Ng and have been around since 2005. He aims to share his experiences making sense of money, how money works and ways to grow his money. It hopes that by sharing his experiences, both good and bad, season investors can advice and critique his decisions and new investors can learn from them and find their own style ...
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