As I write this post* to chronicle my continuing investment journey, the STI has just entered bear market territory, having fallen >20% from its peak close of 3,279.70 back on Jan 6, 2011. The reasons are obvious by now – Greece on the verge of a default which would send the whole Eurozone into a tailspin, and massive debt loads held by countries such as Portugal, Spain and Ireland. The crux of the issue is that a default would trigger bank runs all through Greece, and lead to a systematic collapse of confidence in the banking system throughout Europe. Ripples of these will then spread across the globe and drag the whole world into yet another global financial crisis, possibly eclipsing the previous one in 2008-2009.
*This post was written on October 4, 2011. At the time of publishing, the STI has still managed to avoid a bear market ......