We try to list down and make sense of what is in our heads on the markets, economics, soccer, stocks, technical analysis and fundamental analysis this week.
Secular Market Trends
The doomsday crowd are having a field day. Certainly, I think people are settling on Greece. The danger here is Spain and Italy. They are the big economy.
The Zero Hedge crowd is having it that the monetary system are going to come to a standstill.
This market will go lower than 2009 lows. Will it?
Markets move in 17 year cycles and since 2000 we could be half way into it. Looking at past secular bears, we could suffer big draw downs, but perhaps not till 2009 lows.
20% draw down from 2750 to 2250 looks good.
Barry Ritholtz:
...“I may have mentioned this last time we spoke. In a secular bear market, like 1966-1982 bear or ...