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Will this time be different? $spy
By Investment Moats  •  January 10, 2013

We play this game knowing that we need to know the few known outcomes rather than then what are the outcome.

Since mid 2009 we have been in a rally till now. This gives us about 3.5 years. Typical bulls are 4 years old and bear 1.5-2 years old. We should be cautious.

Will this time be different? $spy 50030yearyldspeaksametimejan9

I don’t subscribe to the thought that the past 2 major bear peak at the same place and go down to roughly the same place, this time it has to be the same.

It may actually move side ways in a 20% down, 15% up, and so on for 2 years before the new secular market.

Or we could break for a new highs not seen since 2001. Either way, no one is good enough to tell you 100% what will happen.

Your strategy used should be one that work well in any of those ...

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By Investment Moats
Investment Moats is set up by Kyith Ng and have been around since 2005. He aims to share his experiences making sense of money, how money works and ways to grow his money. It hopes that by sharing his experiences, both good and bad, season investors can advice and critique his decisions and new investors can learn from them and find their own style ...
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