I download the MSCI World data and consolidate the following. For those looking to invest in
Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (VT) in the US,
Vanguard FTSE All World ETF (VWRL) in the UK.
The multi year gain tabulates rolling year gains. So for example the 2013 5 year total gain of 42% is the return from 2009 to 2013.
We really don’t have data earlier than 1970. it would be better.
There are a few realizations
- if you look at the 10 year returns there are many rolling 10 year returns where the returns are less than 4%
- 20 year rolling returns look rather respectable except 2008
- seems for the past 10 years it’s a new paradigm
- if you have the holding power more than 15 years, statistical historical data shows favorable chances you will not lose money. Doesn’t mean you wont lose out to inflation
- amazing that prior ...
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