Many advocate keeping a portfolio of bonds and stocks, and rebalancing them regularly. While reading the Four Pillars of Investing, I discovered a very good example of diversification and rebalancing. I will replicate it here.
Playing the long game (Chapter 14)
In order to understand rebalancing, let’s consider a model consisting of two risky assets; call them A and B. In a given year, each asset is capable of having only two returns: a gain of 30% or a loss of 10%, each with a probability of 50%. You can simulate the return for each simply by flipping a coin. Half the time you’ll get a return of 30%, and half the time you’ll get 10%.
The expected return of this “investment” is 8.17% per year. That’s because, on average, you’ll get one year of 30% for every year of 10%: 0.9 x 1.3 = 1.......