In a previous article, I introduced a model which uses fundamental data to estimate Dividend Strength, P("same or more dividends next year" | "predicted to be giving same or more dividends next year"). Numerous people have shown interest in this estimation model, therefore I decided to spend more time improving its performance.
Its performance have increased from AUC (Area Under ROC) of 0.65 to 0.7. To put it simply, its performance when pitted against random guessing has improved from 30% (0.65 / 0.5) to 40% (0.7 / 0.5), as random guessing would give us an AUC of 0.5.
I have also added a new page so that its results can be conveniently viewed.
Happy investing!
Technical Details
This is more for my future reference. It is ......