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Are Stock Returns Normally Distributed?
By STE's Stocks Investing Journey  •  October 15, 2016
According to “ Fama & French Forum : “ Distributions of daily and monthly stock returns are rather symmetric about their means, but the tails are fatter (i.e., there are more outliers) than would be expected with normal distributions. (This topic takes up half of Eugene F. Fama's 1964 PhD thesis. Eugene Fama is 2013 Nobel laureate in economic sciences) In the old literature on this issue, the popular alternatives to the normal distributions were non-normal symmetric stable distributions (which are fat-tailed relative to the normal) and t-distributions with low degrees of freedom (which are also fat-tailed). The message for investors is: expect extreme returns, negative as well as positive. Did you see the patterns or characteristics in below charts ? Of course this is not the “patterns “ which I have described in separate blog under blog title of  “ Patterns , Patterns , Patterns ! “   Yes ! The stocks market return is not in the form of  “perfect normal ( aka Gaussian ) distribution “ ....
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By STE's Stocks Investing Journey
Hi Everyone ! is me STE, I would like to start a blog to pen down and document my thoughts on stocks investing and also “talking to myself “ on some issues relating to investing ideas / world . I will try not to mention any particular stock in my blog post as it is very hard to do any “prediction or forecast “ of future or stock's movement and also this may attract unnecessary dispute / incident if anything goes wrong .. I will be using more graphic / chart / table / quotes to explain my thought and ideas as “ pictures worth more than thousand words “ ,, the most important things is …I don’t really good in explaining things in words.. haha .
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