Market Review and Trends
STI at Two-Year High, 15% YTD Gain Led by Developers & Banks
By SGX My Gateway  •  July 25, 2017
The STI opened this week at 3307, after trading above the 3300 level last week for the first time since July 2015. The STI has generated a 15% price gain in the 2017 YTD, which compares to an average of 9% for the US, Japan & Hong Kong benchmarks.  STI gains have been led by the Real Estate and Bank Sectors, representing seven of the eight top performing YTD STI stocks. Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings has been the STI’s best performing stock in the 2017 YTD, a turnaround from being the STI’s least performer in 2016. More 2H17 outlooks on STI stocks will be available this week as SIA Engineering Co, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp, Singapore Airlines, Ascendas REIT, Singapore Exchange, United Overseas Bank are scheduled to report their quarterly earnings. The Straits Times Index (STI) opened this week at 3307, some 426 points, or 14.8% above the 2016 end of year level of 2881.  Last week the STI broke above the 3300 level for the first time in two years, with momentum taking the bellwether to an intra-week high of 3331. The STI maintains one of the region’s highest dividend yields, with 2017 year-to-date distributions boosting the STI’s total return to 16.6%. Comparative Performances of the STI & Dow Jones The comparative total return of the Dow Jones Industrial Average was 4.2% on a Singapore Dollar (“SGD”) basis.  Taking the comparison back to April 2002, when SGX first listed for trading an Exchange Traded Fund (“ETF”) on the STI,  the Singapore Index has also performed comparatively stronger than the Dow Jones benchmark. Since mid-April 2002, the SPDR® STI ETF has generated a 197% total return, compared to 125% for the SPDR® Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust, on a SGD basis. The recent year-to-date total return of the Indices and the annualised long term returns of the ETFs are detailed in the chart below. Note: Above total returns are in SGD and include dividends Source: SGX, Bloomberg (ETF performance data of SPDR® STI spans 17 April 2017 to 21 July 2017) Both the above bellwethers are made up 30 stocks. While the Real Estate Sector, led by Developers, and Banks have been the STI’s strongest sectors in the year-to-date, the strongest sectors of the Dow Jones Industrial Average have been the Materials and the Consumer Discretionary Sectors. Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Holdings has been the STI’s best performing stock in the 2017 YTD, a turnaround from being the STI’s least performer in 2016. More 2H17 outlooks on STI stocks will be available this week as SIA Engineering Co, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp, Singapore Airlines, Ascendas REIT, Singapore Exchange, United Overseas Bank are scheduled to report their quarterly earnings. A guide to the confirmed and expected dates of earning reports is tabled below. To see more details on each stock in SGX StockFacts, click on the stock name.
Name SGX Code Date Confirmed/ Estimated Period Price $ Price Change YTD %
Singapore Press Hldgs T39 7/14/2017 Confirmed Q3 17 2.980 -15.6
CapitaLand Commercial Trust C61U 7/19/2017 Confirmed Q2 17 1.750 18.2
Hutchison Port Hldgs Trust NS8U 7/19/2017 Confirmed Q2 17 0.450 3.4
Keppel Corp BN4 7/20/2017 Confirmed Q2 17 6.580 13.6
CapitaLand Mall Trust C38U 7/21/2017 Confirmed Q2 17 2.030 7.7
SATS S58 7/21/2017 Confirmed Q1 18 5.080 4.7
SIA Engineering Co S59 7/25/2017 Confirmed Q1 18 4.060 20.5
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp O39 7/27/2017 Confirmed Q2 17 11.090 24.3
Singapore Airlines C6L 7/27/2017 Confirmed Q1 18 10.260 6.1
Ascendas REIT A17U 7/27/2017 Confirmed Q1 18 2.680 18.1
Singapore Exchange S68 7/27/2017 Confirmed Y 17 7.510 4.9
United Overseas Bank U11 7/28/2017 Confirmed Q2 17 23.980 17.5
Jardine Cycle & Carriage C07 7/28/2017 Estimated Q2 17 41.860 1.5
StarHub CC3 8/2/2017 Confirmed Q2 17 2.740 -2.5
CapitaLand C31 8/3/2017 Confirmed Q2 17 3.740 23.8
Hongkong Land Hldgs H78 8/3/2017 Confirmed S1 17 7.600 20.1
Sembcorp Industries U96 8/3/2017 Confirmed Q2 17 3.290 15.4
Genting Singapore PLC G13 8/3/2017 Confirmed Q2 17 1.125 24.3
DBS Group Hldgs D05 8/4/2017 Confirmed Q2 17 21.480 23.9
Yangzijiang Shipbuilding Hldgs BS6 8/4/2017 Estimated Q2 17 1.345 65.0
Jardine Matheson Hldgs J36 8/4/2017 Confirmed S1 17 63.670 15.2
UOL Group U14 8/4/2017 Confirmed Q2 17 7.920 32.2
Global Logistic Properties MC0 8/8/2017 Confirmed Q1 18 3.320 50.9
Wilmar International F34 8/10/2017 Confirmed Q2 17 3.370 -6.1
City Developments C09 8/11/2017 Confirmed Q2 17 11.050 33.5
Singapore Telecommunications Z74 8/11/2017 Estimated Q1 18 3.910 7.1
ComfortDelGro Corp C52 8/11/2017 Estimated Q2 17 2.290 -7.3
Golden Agri-Resources E5H 8/11/2017 Estimated Q2 17 0.385 -10.5
Singapore Technologies Engineering S63 8/11/2017 Estimated Q2 17 3.770 16.7
Thai Beverage PCL Y92 8/11/2017 Estimated Q3 17 0.930 9.4
Average           14.5
Source: SGX StockFacts & Bloomberg (data as of 21 July 2017). Note prices and price changes are in USD for Hutchison Port Hldgs Trust, Hongkong Land Hldgs and Jardine Matheson Hldgs. The SGX also listed for trading another ETF on the STI, the Nikko AM STI ETF in 2009. Since its debut in late February 2009 this ETF generated a total return of 147%. Brokers and banks have also launched Regular Shares Saving plans on the STI ETFs. The most recent STI-relevant portfolio products to launch are Daily Leverage Certificates (DLCs) on the highly correlated MSCI Singapore Net Total Return Index – click here for more information.
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