Merry Xmas!
As we approach end 2019, most market strategists are putting their market estimates for end 2020. Although I do not profess to be in the league of these market strategists, just for fun, I am expecting STI to head towards 3,390 in 1Q2020. STI closed at 3,222 on 24 Dec 2019. I have outlined my basis and the risks involved.
Factors for my bullish basis
a) Chart looks positive after bullish break
Based on Chart 1 below, STI has staged a bullish break above its flag formation on 12 Dec 2019. Notwithstanding below average volume for the past couple of weeks (perhaps due to holiday period) and low ADX, STI’s indicators are slowly strengthening with rising OBV, MFI and RSI. The bullish break on 12 Dec points to an eventual technical measured target of around 3,389, probably in the next 1-3 months. Based on the chart development,...