2 reasons to stay away from Snap’s IPO


(You may refer to Snap's S-1 filing here) To say that I am not a big fan of Snap's IPO would be an understatement - I would not touch Snap's IPO even with a ten foot pole. Here are the 2 biggest reasons: 1) No voting rights Source: Snap's S-1 filing Snap has 3 classes of common stock, and are offering only class A - those without any voting rights. What this essentially … [Read more...]

New Counter: Tai Sin Electric

Tai Sin is a company that had popped out on my various screeners multiple times. However, I had never really taken a look at the firm till I came across an interesting and informative piece by "The Market Oculus" over the weekend. Those interested in the post may find it here. I have since investigated the business and decided to re-invest my earnings from the divestment of DBS here. To be … [Read more...]

Micro-Mechanics Earnings Review


Micro-Mechanics announced their half year results on 6th February (here). Seeing that this is their first major earnings call since my purchase in early October (initiation report here), I would like to examine their results a little further. Fantastic Earnings Micro-Mechanics reported a 6.7% increase in revenue and a 6.8% increase in profits for the period July 2016 till December 2016. … [Read more...]

A look at United Overseas Insurance (and Great Eastern)


I will be casting an eye on United Overseas Insurance this week. As usual, since I am not initiating a position on this counter, I will leave the conclusions portion out. United Overseas Insurance (SGX:U13) in a Nutshell: Insurance firm that is majority owned by United Overseas Bank. How United Overseas Insurance stacks up against Great Eastern: In terms of Return on Equity (ROE), UOI … [Read more...]

Portfolio Update: Divesting DBS for a 27.6% profit


I have divested my holdings in DBS at $19.16 per share to record a healthy 27.6% total profits (including dividends). (prices include transactional costs) Reasons for divestment:   1) Target Price DBS's 5 year average Price to Book (PB) ratio is at around 1.15, which I used to construct my target price benchmark. In its September 2016 financial statement, DBS … [Read more...]

A look at SIA Engineering Company


Lunar New Year is in a couple of days, here is to wishing everyone a Happy New Year! Anyway, I am going to take a look at a bigger blue-chip firm this week: SIA Engineering Company. Once again, as I am not initiating a position on this counter, I will leave the conclusions portion out. SIA Engineering Company Ltd (SIAE.SI) in a nutshell: Offers support services for airlines. (No, SIA … [Read more...]

A look at CNMC Goldmine


It has been some time since I reviewed a company that I do not own. I am hopeful that I will have some time in 2017 to write a little more about some of the more interesting firms that I had been looking at. The first firm that I am writing about is CNMC Goldmine. As I am not initiating a position on this counter, I will leave the conclusions portion out. Nonetheless, any comments are … [Read more...]

Keong Hong FY16 Results Update


Keong Hong had opened its books for FY2016 ending September 31st. As Keong Hong is one of my counters, I will do a short review on its performance. Interested investors may find my previous assessments of Keong Hong here. In a nutshell:   Source: Keong Hong's Press Release 1) Diluted EPS in FY2016 stands at 15.08 cents, having decreased by 1.33 cents (~8%) 2) ROE … [Read more...]

What if you bought all SGX IPOs in 2016?


A common and recurring theme found in Ben Graham's The Intelligent Investor and Peter Lynch's One Up on Wall Street and Beating the Street is to be wary of IPOs. However, you would have actually done rather brilliantly if you had invested in all the IPOs with public tranches (that is, IPOs which retail investors like you and me can subscribe to). In fact, if you had spent S$1000 on every … [Read more...]

What returns will be required to beat the STI in 2017?

If the analysts are right, you will need more than 9.41% to do so. After a rather topsy-turvy 2016 in which original constituents like Noble Group got replaced, SGX's passive Straits Times Index (STI) had ended the year on 30th December at about 2881. Here are the consolidated STI targets that various brokerage have for 2017: UOB KAY HIAN - 3000 MAYBANK KIM ENG - 3000 RHB - … [Read more...]

Book Review: 5 takeaways from Peter Lynch’s Beating the Street

4 months after my first review of The Intelligent Investor (here), I have finally found some time to read my 2nd investing classic - Peter Lynch's Beating the Street. About the Author: Peter Lynch is a legendary stock investor best known for his time as the manager of the Magellan Fund at Fidelity Investments between 1977 and 1990. During his time at Magellan, Lynch averaged a 29.2% annual … [Read more...]

New Counter: Cogent Holdings

Cogent Holdings Limited (KJ9) Equity: Cogent Holdings (SGX: KJ9) Business: Logistics Management Servicde Provider Markets exposed: Singapore, Malaysia Stock exchange: SGX Purchase price: 0.610 Purchase month: December 10% per annum:  I believe that Cogent can easily provide returns exceeding 10% per annum in the long run through both earnings growth and valuation … [Read more...]

Problems with the OPEC/non-OPEC oil deal


December has been a good month for oil bulls as OPEC agreed to cut production by 1.2 million barrels a day. This was soon followed up with news that non-OPEC countries had agreed to cut production by 558,000 barrels a day. While these are definitely good news for investors in the oil and gas (O&G) space, caution should still be exercised when investing in downstream O&G stocks. This … [Read more...]

New Counter: Hock Lian Seng

After being overseas for the most part of 6 weeks, I finally have some time to research and invest the earnings from my divestment of Transit Mixed Concrete.   Hock Lian Seng Holdings Limited (J2T)   Equity: Hock Lian Seng Holdings Limited (SGX: J2T) Business: Engineering, Building & Property Development Markets exposed: Mainly Singapore Stock exchange: SGX Purchase price: … [Read more...]

Portfolio Earnings Review

One benefit of value investing is the privilege of not having to constantly monitor your portfolio for live updates - after all, value investors invest in the long term. Short term volatility and noise should, theoretically, have little significance in our investments. This has truly been a boon for me as I am currently kept rather busy on an overseas assignment. As such, any results release … [Read more...]

Portfolio Update: Taking profit from Transit Mixed Concrete


I have decided to take profit on my investment in Transit Mixed Concrete (TMC) after their recent disappointing results release prompted a review on my initial investment thesis. In my original investment considerations (here), I mentioned that TMC was an extremely resilient business. Well, a 31% fall in revenue and a 49% fall in profits definitely changes things. Dividends were also reduced … [Read more...]

Why I won’t buy the Fullerton Healthcare IPO


Apart from the fact that I have no money, that is. As Asia Pacific grows in both population and wealth, demand for quality healthcare is definitely going to increase. Indeed, optimism for solid growth has driven valuations for other SGX-listed healthcare operators like Raffles Medical Group sky high. It is in this back drop where news that Fullerton Healthcare IPO was being priced at the … [Read more...]

New Counter: Micro-Mechanics

Micro-Mechanics (Holdings) Ltd (5DD) Equity: Micro-Mechanics (Holdings) Ltd (SGX:5DD) Business: Manufacturing in Semiconductor industry Markets exposed: Mainly Asia and North America Stock exchange: SGX Purchase price: $0.85 / share Purchase month: October 2016 10% per annum: Micro-Mechanics has declared a dividend of 6 cents for FY2016, which translates into a yield of … [Read more...]

1H’16 (Apr-Oct) Portfolio Returns


As per the stated tracking timeline (half yearly in April and October), it is time to review the performance of my portfolio. *includes losses on Yuuzoo and gains on Global Investments In terms of objectives, I have fulfilled both my aims: 1) To beat the SPDR STI ETF 2) To exceed 10% per annum To be honest, the results were better than my expectations as I had thought that … [Read more...]

Introducing CRI’s free Probability of Default modelling

The National University of Singapore has a Risk Management Institute. Within the Risk Management Institute, there is a Credit Research Initiative (CRI). You may visit their website here. In their own words, this is what the the CRI is about: "The Credit Research Initiative (CRI) is a non-profit undertaking by the Risk Management Institute at NUS, and seeks to promote research and development … [Read more...]