Author: A Singaporean Stockmarket Investor (ASSI)

China Minzhong: Crossroads.

China Minzhong’s share price has been forming a base. It is clear that immediate support is now provided by the 20dMA which has stopped declining and is, in fact, gently rising. A rising MFI suggests that there is an underlying and growing demand while the sharply rising OBV suggests that smart money is moving back into the counter as its share price moves sideways with an upward bias. The MACD, although rising, is still in negative territory. However, this could change soon as it could cross into positive territory next week, everything remaining constant. Could a change in trend take...

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Sound Global: Would I buy now?

Fundamentally, a top down approach suggests that the industry Sound Global is in will continue to do well as governments invest in solutions to water related problems. My past research and experience with the company when it was known as E-pure also gave me the confidence required to invest in the company again although my initial re-entry price of 59c was less than ideal. In the subsequent market sell down, I bought more shares at 46.5c on 31 May 2012 which means that my long position is now in the black. I am looking to possibly locking in some gain as the charts...

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Capitaland: Leveling up.

“People’s Bank of China slashed its one-year deposit and lending rates by 25bps and 31bps respectively just a month after it cut interest rates by 25bps. Beijing also announced further easing of interest rates, with banks expected to lower lending rates by as much as 70% against benchmark rates.” Further expectations are for the bank RRR (required reserve ratio) to be cut by another 50bps in 3Q 2012.  (Source: The EDGE) All these measures would serve to improve liquidity, helping businesses and consumers gain easier access to cheaper loans. As Capitaland has a significant presence in China, improving liquidity in the...

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Cambridge Industrial Trust: 30 Teban Gardens.

Cambridge Industrial Trust is looking at buying 30 Teban Gardens for S$41m. “Cambridge Industrial said 30 Teban Gardens Crescent is a high quality asset, with prominent exposure to the Ayer Rajah Expressway. The acquisition will further reduce the reliance of the trust’s income stream on any single asset or tenant.” Eurosports Auto at 30 Teban Gardens distributes Lamborghinis. What I am immediately interested in is how are they going to fund the purchase and how will it impact my income received from the REIT. The REIT has a gearing level of some 35.9% as of March 2012. Not excessive...

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Croesus Retail Trust.

“Croesus Retail Trust is planning a Singapore initial public offering of about $800 million (US$634.22 million), backed by mainly Japanese assets, IFR reported on Wednesday.” It is an interesting choice of name. Croesus was the wealthy King of Lydia (part of modern day Turkey) and in Greek culture, the name is synonymous with a wealthy man. Would the REIT live up to its name? Although I find this REIT interesting, I am not too excited about it at least for now because I remember Starhill Gobal REIT’s Japanese retail properties to be a drag on its performance. The lacklustre Japanese economy...

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AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT: Making money.

The issue of how REITs must constantly raise funds in order to expand has been beaten to death and I have also blogged about it more than once. The debate can and probably will go on forever but, as far as I am concerned, it has little value and serves to distract us from what really matters. If REITs are raising funds for activities that are yield accretive, I would readily support the exercise and would, in fact, try to subscribe for more than my entitlement of rights if the offer is very attractive. Bearing this in mind, I have...

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Voices, noises and choices.

The amount of information out there is enough to make one feel somewhat overwhelmed or even faint. I have not been reading blogs as much in the last one week and kept my reading primarily to Channel NewsAsia, The Business Times and Yahoo!Finance. Even so, it probably is enough to make heads spin. Some proclaimed that the U.S. housing market has bottomed and is picking up! Conventional wisdom says that the U.S. housing market must pick up before we see a return to sustainable economic growth. On the same day, another article claimed that the U.S. economy is sliding back into recession! Then,...

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Market gyrations, my portfolio and a sabbatical.

My investments in S-REITs are holding up nicely which gives credence to my strategy to overweight S-REITs in my portfolio. Their relative price stability and high distribution yields provide some solace in a volatile market. A brief look at some of my larger investments in S-REITs: 1. AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT closed at $1.20 per unit. My cost per unit ranges from $0.775 to $1.10. 2. Sabana REIT closed at $0.97 a unit. I first initiated a long position at $0.93 in March 2011. I bought more as its unit price sank below $0.90. I am still holding on to those...

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Wilmar: Not a time to sell.

On 5 June 12, I did a blog post on whether it was time to go long on Wilmar. Yesterday, someone asked me as well if it is now a good time to go long on Wilmar. To any seasoned market watcher, Wilmar’s share price must look quite tantalising as it hit a low of $3.41 on 14 June 12. That was a good 43% lower than its one year high of $5.99 a share. Now, if we should think of a reason for the decline in price, it is clearly because of the company’s disappointing earnings. The company’s crushing business...

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SPH: Better investment than retail S-REITs?

SPH is still my largest investment in a Singapore blue chip and it is an important part of my high yield portfolio. CIMB now suggests that investing in SPH is better than investing in retail S-REITs. It would be a happy coincidence for me if CIMB should be right as my only exposure to retail S-REITs is a small long position in Suntec REIT, much smaller than my investment in SPH. Singapore Press Holdings is becoming increasingly like a retail real estate investment trust (REIT), CIMB Research said, noting its growing retail property arm and stable media business, as well as typical payouts of...

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Marco Polo Marine: Persistent insider buying.

I find Marco Polo Marine, an offshore and marine company, a rather interesting proposition at current prices of 31.5c to 32.5c a share. 1. PER of about 8x 2. Net profit margin just under 20% 3. NAV per share at 37c 4. Interest cover ratio at 8.3x 5. Gearing at 30% Marco Polo Marine has the intention of listing an Indonesian subsidiary on the Jakarta Stock Exchange. This could unlock value as Kim Eng estimates the listing could value the company’s stake in the Indonesian subsidiary at more than 30% of the company’s current market cap. Perhaps, it is the persistent insider buying over the last 12 months that really nailed it...

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AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT and Sabana REIT: Performance fees.

This issue of The EDGE has a very interesting article by Goola Warden on S-REITs. In a nutshell, it looks at potential conflicts of interest between their external managers and unitholders. To this end, it looks at the layers of fees charged by the managers. As investors, we want to make sure that the REIT managers are fairly rewarded since no one would work for free. However, we have to safeguard our interests too especially when there is a lack of uniformity in the way the fees are calculated. On the issue of performance fee, CLSA says that AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT...

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Olam: Accumulate now?

A few days ago, I blogged about Olam and how Kim Eng has a SELL recommendation. That got a reader who is invested in Olam sufficiently flustered to send me an email. Hey, I was just sharing an analysis which I thought made sense. Don’t shoot the messenger and if it is any consolation, my badly timed initial investment in Wilmar fared worse. “Olam has been the second worst performing member of the STI this year, with only Wilmar having done worse.” (The EDGE, 18 June) Anyhow, the article by Joan Ng in the same publication went on to...

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Soup Restaurant: Gain of $7.7m.

On 14 June, Soup Restaurant confirmed the sale of its stake in YES F&B Group Pte Ltd. The consideration is S$7.9m which represents an excess of some S$7.7m over the cost of investment of the Group at the end of FY2011. The net tangible assets (NTA) per share and consolidated earnings per share (EPS) of Soup Restaurant will be positively impacted in the current FY2012. The former would see an increase of 1.18c per share while the latter would see an increase of 1.05c per share. The completion of such a sale is not going to happen immediately. It...

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