Author: ccloh Strategic Investor Zone

STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (42)

Continued from STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (41) As mentioned previous, the correction for STI is too shallow to consider complete for a wave 2.  Thus, it is no surprising STI failed to make any powerful upside last week despite the bounce from 3183.64 on 14th Mar 2019.  However, as the way STI has performed last week, it has given out further clue since the bottom at 2955.68. Firstly, have to rule out the STI-1 scenario.  This is the case whereby STI is in Minor wave 3 with start point at 2993.42 and potential end...

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Education System Reform — Not Bold Enough !

3 decades ago when talk about self-driving car, the usual response would be “aiya, sci fiction lah”.  Now, it is no longer a sci fiction but a possibility. The world has 1G mobile phone in the 80’s (the 大哥大) which can only perform voice call but not everyone can afford it.  Then came 2G and 2.5G in the 90’s with mobile phone became a bit more affordable for everyone to own.  Apart from voice call, it was able to do text messaging.  3G became the norm at the turn of the 21st century with noticeable improvement in term of...

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STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (41)

Continued from STI Analysis —  the next peak and trough ? (40) The previous analysis mentioned about STI could be in a 5th wave extension scenario for the Minor degree.  However, with STI closing below 3200 level, that situation has to be invalidated.  In this analysis, going to re-organize things a bit.  The first thing is the bigger picture remains valid for STI, that is STI is now in SuperCycle wave 3, Cycle wave 3, Primary wave 3 and Intermediate wave 1, S3C3P3I1.  The question now is at which phase STI is in at the Minor degree.  As it...

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STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (40)

Continued from STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (39). On a bigger picture, there isn’t any change to the wave count of STI but on at lower level in particular the Minor degree, there appears to develop an alternate scenario. The above snapshot was from the previous analysis whereby STI is now in Minor wave 3 with target to be 3633.006.  This wave count so far still remain valid as no Elliott Wave rule violations were found.  The only suspicious thing is the sub level Minute degree wave count.  Should this case be valid, the Minute...

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Portfolio — Feb 2019

Investment Portfolio 1. Received SingPost dividend of 0.5 cents/share2. Entitled to CapitaR China Trust scrip or cash dividend of 4.83 cents/unit3. Entitled to MapletreeInd Trust scrip or cash dividend of 1.71 cents/unit for advance distributionStock Holding Price* Market Price Unrealized Profit/Loss Dividend Return Non-Strategic CapitaMall Trust $1.155 $2.40 +105.30% +87.00% First REIT $0.5973 $1.08 +80.39% +118.42% Genting SP $0.5314 $1.02 +91.35% +25.40% KepCorp $7.4156 $6.16 -17.30% +43.97% SIA $12.0697 $10.01 -17.47% +35.17% SingPost $1.0093 $1.01 -0.51% +48.76% MapletreeInd Trust $0.8537 $2.00 +136.74% +72.54% Kep DC Reit $0.9174 $1.47 +63.21% +26.87% Frasers Cpt Trust $1.6314 $2.29 +38.67% +23.37% Unrealized +44.97%...

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STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (39)

Continued from STI Analysis — Recap 2018 & Looking Ahead 2019. STI closed 3269.90 on 22nd Feb 2019 on track with present analysis that it is in Minor wave 3 or to be exact SuperCycle wave 3, Cycle wave 3, Primary wave 3, Intermediate wave 1, Minor wave 3 (S3C3P3I1M3). The above is generated from the Degree Calculator from Cycle degree with those already happened value highlighted.  The calculated Minor wave 3 is expected to end around 3479.897 if there is no wave 3 extension occurs. The above is the Main & Sub function of the Degree Calculator to...

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Elliott Wave Calculator (2)

Continued from Elliott Wave Calculator — FinTech ? The 3rd function of the Elliott Wave Calculator — Degree Calculator, after making some modifications, has appeared to be the most powerful Elliott Wave calculation tools compared to the Fibonacci Calculator and Correction Calculator.  The modification was done to the 2nd feature of the Degree Calculator, the All Degree calculation.  In the earlier version, the All Degree calculation feature of the Degree Calculator could only display the sub wave 1 of the next higher degree.  As such, to view the 5-wave structure of sub wave 3 and 5, the other feature...

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STI Analysis — Recap 2018 & Looking Ahead 2019

Continued from STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (38) The ‘STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ?’ went until 38 series since start in January 2018, STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ?.  Its about time to do a recap of what were being blogged so far and what to expect in 2019. Rcap The 1st series started off by looking at past history in search of a pattern to determine when the next peak and trough going to happen.  In the 2nd edition and to reproduce here a pattern was found...

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Elliott Wave Calculator — FinTech ?

Based on my knowledge on Elliott Wave, I’ve developed from scratch an Elliott Wave Calculator software to help analyze stock market movement.  Though this app is still developing, the very basic function is there and usable.  Question is how accurate can this be ? Case Study 1ComfortDelGro from Dec 2017 when it hit the low of $1.806 to the high of $2.49 in Oct 2018 and to the low again of $2.07 in Nov – Dec 2018.  During these periods, the price movement completed wave 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, A, B, C — one cycle of Elliott Wave...

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Portfolio — Jan 2019

Investment Portfolio 1. Received First Reit dividend of 2.15 cents/unit2. Entitled FrasersCom Trust scrip or dividend of 2.40 cents/unit3. Received Kep Reit dividend of 1.36 cents/unit4. Entitled Mapletreelog Trust scrip or cash dividend of 2.002 cents/unit5. Received Frasers Cptr Trust dividend of 3.02 cents/unit6. Received Kep DC Reit dividend of 3.70 cents/unit7. Entitled MapletreeInd Trust scrip or cash dividend of 3.07 cents/unit8. Received CapitaMall Trust dividend of 1.56 cents/unit9. Received MapletreeCom Trust dividend of 2.33 cents/unitStock Holding Price* Market Price Unrealized Profit/Loss Dividend Return Non-Strategic CapitaMall Trust $1.155 $2.40 +105.30% +87.00% First REIT $0.5973 $1.09 +82.06% +118.42% Genting SP...

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Recap 2018 & Looking Ahead 2019

STI ended the year 2018 at 3068.76, a loss of 334.16 points or 9.82%.  STI was not the only bourses that ended red for the year and in fact majority of the bourses ended in the red with China Shanghai Composite, SSE performed the worst with more than 20% drop. Recap 2018 started brightly for global market as the rally continued from late 2017.  However, it soon took a brake near end January when US announced tariff increased on China imported goods.  This effectively started the US-China trade war (tariff war) when China refused to give in and doing...

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STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (38)

Continued from STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (37) Most would say the correction that peg STI for almost whole of 2018 has ended at 2955.68 now.  Well, technically, STI still waiting to breakout from 3338 level to confirm that but from Elliott wave analysis perspective, early signals could be pick from here and there to affirm that before the confirmation. The only way to qualify that is to analyze the wave count from both the top-down and bottom-up approach and if both converge, there is no reason not to qualify the case.  Have done this...

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STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (37)

Continued from STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (36) Till now, STI still yet to reach a confirmation of either it is in a scenario of post-correction or still in correction.  The following analysis shall be on the scenario of post-correction only and awaiting for confirmation signals to rule out the still in correction scenario. The above chart is the possible trajectory for the post-correction scenario.  STI ended the P2 wave at 2955.68, completed the M1 wave at 3192.88 followed by the M2 wave at 2993.42.  Following that sequence, STI is now in the M3 wave...

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Strategic Investor 2018 Review

FTSE STI ended 2018 at 3068.76 compared with 3402.92 a year ago, representing a loss of  334.16 point or 9.82%.  It was never a good year for global stock market not just STI.  Most of the year STI was in correction mode with a high of 3641.65 in May and a low of 2955.68 in October.  The following summarized my Investment Portfolio performance for 2018 vs 2017 2018 2017 Variant Non-Strategic Unrealized Gain/Loss               +34.89%          +68.72%       -49.23% Strategic Unrealized Gain/Loss               +22.20%  ...

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