Author: ccloh Strategic Investor Zone

Portfolio — Jul 2018

Investment Portfolio 1. Received SingPost dividend of 2.00 cents/share 2. Received Kep Reit dividend of 1.42 cents/unit 3. Received Kep DC Reit dividend of 0.85 cents/unit 4. Received First Reit dividend of 2.15 cents/unit 5. Received Kep Corp dividend of 15 cents/share 6. Received CapitaMall Trust dividend of 2.81 cents/unit 7. Entitled to Mapletreelog Trust scrip or cash dividend of 0.559 cents/unit 8. Received MapletreeInd Trust dividend of 3.00 cents/unit 9. Received Frasers Cpt Trust dividend of 3.053 cents/unit 10. Received FrasersCom Trust dividend of 2.40 cents/unit 11. Received MapletreeCom trust dividend of 2.23 cents/unit 12. Received SIA dividend...

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STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (21)

Continued from STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (20) Before begin, I decided to redefine Elliott Wave naming of wave count from now on.  The new naming is to ensure as the analysis gets into more lower levels, it will not be lost at which Elliott Wave count it is be with reference to the top most level.  Example of the naming is as followed :- Primary wave 3 = P3 Primary wave 3, Intermediate wave 4 = P3I4 Primary wave 3, Intermediate wave 5, Minor wave 1 = P3I5M1 Primary wave 3, Intermediate wave 5,...

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STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (20)

Continued from STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (19) In the previous analysis, it was mentioned STI needs to move above 3338 to confirm the present correction which started in late January 2018 finally ended.  STI closed 3297.83 on 20th Jul 2018 still some 40+ points away from the confirmation but some interesting facts have developed since hitting the bottom of 3176.26 on 6th Jul 2018. The above chart is a reproduction (and addition detail) of the one that was posted on 12th Jul 2018 (refer previous analysis). On 6th Jul 2018 I posted live (refer...

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STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (18)

Continued from STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (17) As STI continued to search for bottom that raise the possibility of another scenario from happening apart from the Scenario 1 and 2.1 mentioned previously.  Technically, the new scenario is not a new one but rather an old scenario in my past analysis.  It was actually the first scenario that came to my mind when STI entered correction in February (STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (IV)).  I’ll shall denote this as Scenario 3 now. The blue-colored Fibonacci Retracement level is for both Scenario...

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Corporate Result — Jul/Aug 2018

1. SPH Reit  —  10th Jul 20182. SPH  —  11th Jul 20183. Kep Reit  —  16th Jul 20184. Soilbuild REIT  —  16th Jul 20185. Kep DC Reit  —  17th Jul 20186. Kep Infra Trust  —  17th Jul 20187. Kep-KBS US Reit  —  17th Jul 20188. First Reit  —  17th Jul 20189. Kep T&T  —  18th Jul 201810. Capitaland Comm Trust  —  19th Jul 201811. Kep Corp  —  19th Jul 201812. SATS  —  19th Jul 201813. SIA Engg  —  19th Jul 201814. CapitaMall Trust  —  20th Jul 201815. Semb Mar  —  20th Jul 201816. Mapletreelog Trust  —  23rd Jul 201817....

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Portfolio — Jun 2018

Investment Portfolio 1. Include Mapletreelog Trust advanced distribution of 1.398 cents/unit Stock Holding Price* Market Price Unrealized Profit/Loss Dividend Return Non-Strategic CapitaMall Trust $1.155 $2.07 +76.91% +79.50% First REIT $0.5973 $1.33 +122.14% +107.63% Genting SP $0.5314 $1.22 +128.97% +22.58% KepCorp $7.4156 $7.15 -3.95% +41.95% SIA $12.0697 $10.69 -11.84% +32.02% SingPost $1.0093 $1.26 +24.25% +45.30% MapletreeInd Trust $0.8537 $1.93 +124.70% +69.02% Kep DC Reit $0.9174 $1.36 +50.94% +21.79% Frasers Cpt Trust $1.6314 $2.21 +33.77% +17.89% Unrealized +64.00% +59.25% Strategic Kep REIT — $1.10 110.00 cents/share 17.69 cents/unit FrasersCom Trust — $1.38 138.00 cents/share 2.40 cents/unit MapletreeCom Trust — $1.57 157.00...

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STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (XVII)

Continued from STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (XVI) Above is the chart of STI as of 25th Jun 2018.  Nothing special has happened despite the drop to an intra-day low of 3246.92.  However, there are several questions I presume trying to know where the bottom is.  Thought I’ll use this update to clarify these doubts. The 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement at 3265, the 50% Fibonacci Retracement at 3157 are just guidelines of where STI could possible end for this Intermediate degree Wave 4 correction.  They are NOT rules of Elliott Wave.  Guidelines mean they happen most...

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More Support For Indoor Farming !

Referring to The Straits Times article on Singapore Indoor Farming dating 20th Jun 2018 (refer here), the Floor-G government is signaling more support to grow this sector.  Just as a record, I’ve blogged in 2014 about Indoor Farming as the Singapore new economic pillar (refer here). what took the Floor-G leader soooooooo long to realize ???? Should they have acted 4 years ago, by now Singapore would have another domestic pillar in our economy to cushion any external factors, probably a key part to play in the coming global recession (probably in 2020) Anyway I don’t have high expectation...

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STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (XVI)

Continued from STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (XV) STI fell below 3300 on 18th Jun 2018 has invalidate the Scenario 2.2 mentioned in previous analysis, that is the correction which started late January 2018 is Primary degree Wave 4.  This is due to the fact it has overlapped into Primary degree Wave 1 peak.  Hence, STI is now down to the remaining 2 possibilities, Scenario 1 and Scenario 2.1.  Though both these scenarios indicate STI is in Primary degree Wave 3 doing Intermediate degree Wave 4 correction, the different is how Primary degree Wave 1...

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Elliott Wave Analysis on DBS

As mentioned in STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (XIII) about cautions on financial stocks, below is the chart Elliott Wave analysis on DBS. There have been quite a lot of analysis on DBS going around mostly positive citing moving up to $40 to $50.  Well that could be a possibility even with Elliott Wave analysis BUT before hitting that target, a correction in the form of Wave 4 has to sit in.  One can draw trend lines, look at money in-flow and out-flow to justify that but none of those are a closed-loop analysis tool...

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STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (XV)

Continued from STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (XIV) Looking at the past 14 STI analysis found that I got distracted from the 4th analysis onward when I started to get into analyzing on Elliott Wave degree lower than Intermediate level.  That was not my original intention when I started to blog on early this year.  The original intention was to track Primary degree Elliott Wave which started in 2009.  The lowest degree that should be looking at will be the Intermediate level and nothing more below that. Tidying things up and refocus back to the...

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Portfolio — May 2018

Investment Portfolio 1. Received Mapletreelog Trust dividend of 1.937 cents/unit 2. Received Kep DC Reit advanced distribution of 2.75 cents/unit 3. Entitled to Mapletreelog Trust advanced distribution of between 1.372 to 1.388 cents/unit Stock Holding Price* Market Price Unrealized Profit/Loss Dividend Return Non-Strategic CapitaMall Trust $1.155 $2.07 +76.91% +79.50% First REIT $0.5973 $1.38 +130.49% +107.63% Genting SP $0.5314 $1.26 +136.49% +22.58% KepCorp $7.4156 $7.71 +3.60% +41.95% SIA $12.0697 $11.28 -6.95% +32.02% SingPost $1.0093 $1.32 +30.19% +45.30% MapletreeInd Trust $0.8537 $1.97 +129.39% +69.02% Kep DC Reit $0.9174 $1.40 +55.40% +21.79% Frasers Cpt Trust $1.6314 $2.19 +32.54% +17.89% Unrealized +70.28% +59.25%...

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STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (XIV)

Continued from STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (XIII) Finally, the drop to today possible intra-day low of 3437.12 hit the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level for the Intermediate degree Wave 5 Minor degree Wave 2 correction, a very typical level for wave 2 correction.  As such, a double-three combination of Expanded Flat – Zigzag looks to play out for this correction.  Can it still go lower ?  Well there is a possibility to hit the 78.8% Fibonacci level at 3395 given the uncertainty global stock markets are facing now.  However, keep a look out for the...

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Stock Incubator — Valuetronics Holdings Ltd

The FY2018 earning for Valuetronics was out on 25th May 2018.  Valuetronics share price fell to a low of $0.64 last month after rising to a high of $1.12 in March 2018.  The “big” fall was due to news that its Dutch MNC client reporting sub-par sales performance from its smart home lightning division, mainly in the US (refer here).  As such, the FY2018 result attracted much attention as to how badly hit Valuetronics would be in revenue and profit. Summarized of the result is as followed Nothing bad on a full year basis but on a quarterly basis,...

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Elliott Wave Analysis on Singapore Political Landscape

Elliott Wave principle is predominately used in analyzing prices in stock market based on investors psychological behavior toward it.  Should said subject also involve mass population then it should be possible to use Elliott Wave principle to analyze it too. The Singapore political landscape does involve mass population (citizens of Singapore) to vote in the political party the right to govern the nation or to vote out the political party who deem unfit to govern the nation.  Thus, the possibility of Elliott Wave principle is able to describe the political landscape is there. Below is the detail analysis. Elliott...

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