Author: Evergreen Investing

Why 2020 should be a good year for iFAST

For the first time since its listing, iFAST provided guidance for operating expenses during the third quarter of 2019. 3Q19 net revenue grew 9% but net profit fell 5% because of increased spending on the company’s IT capabilities. More importantly, iFAST is guiding for slower expense growth in 2020. Overall operating expenses are expected to grow 5-9% year on year to SGD60-62 million in 2020 which is lower than the double digit percentage growth during the last few years. iFAST PBT margins 2016: 15.0% 2017: 17.7% 2018: 20.7% 9M2019: 15.9% If all goes well and iFAST grows revenue faster than...

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iFAST and Charles Schwab

Charles Schwab history and development hints at a bright future for iFAST, one of the larger positions in my portfolio. Both companies sell funds and stocks at a low price and succeeded in gathering more assets and clients. Take a look at how Charles Schwab has grown over the years. Charles Schwab disrupted the industry by selling stocks at a low commission. Charles Schwab used technology to offer lower prices and increase profit margins. Scope and scale grew with the company selling more products such as unit trusts and a back-end platform for financial advisors. Network effects resulted in a...

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SOG: Delivering growth

This post is a shorter version of my SOG report which was submitted for the InvestorOne challenge. You can vote for the Evergreen Investing report here. Note that you can vote for more than 1 report in the InvestorOne challenge and there’s a lucky draw prize (DJI drone) for voters! Singapore O&G (SOG) is a healthcare company focusing on specialist practices such as obstetrics, dermatology, gynae-oncology, and paediatrics. SOG was incorporated in 2011 and listed on the SGX in 2015 with 7 doctors. Since its IPO, SOG has grown headcount mainly through doctor recruitment rather than acquisitions. The company’s...

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Kingsmen: 2Q19 results, valuation and NERF

Kingsmen’s  share price – SGD0.51 as of 16 August is trading below net tangible assets (SGD0.54) again which seems very cheap for a service company. Kingsmen reported mixed 2Q19 results – revenue up 12% year on year but net profit down 38% year on year mainly because of forex issues. The interim dividend has been kept constant so the trailing dividend yield is 4.9%. Although the results weren’t great, I don’t think it justifies Kingsmen trading below NTA.   I’m going to wait and see the outcome of their developing attractions business. NERF Marina Square looks promising! The posters on...

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SOG presentation at Invest Fair 2019

Dropping a quick note to say that I’ll be presenting SOG at Invest Fair 2019 (Suntec Seminar Room 4) at 1245 till 1pm this Saturday (17 August 2019). I recently submitted a SOG report for a stock research contest and InvestingNote has graciously allowed the contestants to pitch for votes. Hope to see you there and please feel free to stop by for a chat after the presentation even if you disagree with the conclusions! If you are not able to come down personally, you can download the report and vote for  Evergreen Investing here. Remember to click on the...

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SOG 2Q19 results: Patience needed… and a 9 page SOG report!

I have uploaded a 9 page SOG report here on InvestingNote and will be grateful if you can vote for me after you download the report. No one has voted for me yet so I’m hoping everyone can help… I’m planning to donate 100% of any cash prizes to charity and there’s a lucky draw prize (DJI drone) for voters! You will have to set up an InvestingNote account to vote. Anyway, here are the top 3 reasons to buy SOG which was described in greater detail within the report.  SOG offers resilient healthcare growth in these uncertain times –...

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iFAST Q219 results: Record AUA, Singapore digital bank license bid but lower net profit

iFAST, which is one of my major positions reported a mixed set of results for the second quarter of 2019 but there was some good news too. Assets under administration (AUA) grew 8.5% year on year to a record SGD9.0 billion despite weak unit trust subscriptions. The company’s bond business is growing rapidly with bonds being the second largest part of total AUA. Bonds made up 7.5% of the company’s AUA in Q2 2019 compared to 6.2% in the same period last year. Bonds sold on iFAST platforms also grew 6% quarter on quarter. Net revenue grew 9.5% but...

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Kingsmen: NERF Marina Square

I wrote this note on InvestingNote last week. Pricing for the Nerf Marina Square attraction is out! My initial reactions: Average pricing $23 to $39 per entryLower end is meant for off peak (Monday to Thursday sessions) and NERF groups who just need an obstacle course for their group games. Kingsmen is also catering to young kids (3-6 year old) which is a good idea as Marina Square is becoming known as a kid’s theme mall(Pororo and Kidztopia). Multi visit pass ($220) to encourage repeat visits. These tickets help to promote earnings viability. I wish they will just call...

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Kingsmen: NERF matters

Kingsmen’s plan to develop NERF attractions is one of the key reasons why I invested in this company so I wanted to share what I learned during the 2018 annual general meeting. The total investment in NERF Marina Square is expected to be around SGD5 million so Kingmen can survive the hit even  if this attraction is a complete failure. This 18,000 square feet attraction will be sited near the Marina Square taxi stand (the one near Mindchamps pre-school) and tourist bus centre so it should benefit from decent footfall. Marina Square NERF will have several large activity zones...

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Portfolio review: Q1 2019 results

All five Evergreen stocks (iFAST, Kingsmen, SOG, China Aviation and HRNet) reported poor results for the first quarter of 2019 but I’m sticking with them. These companies have a history of producing great results and I’m giving them 2-3 years more before I consider selling. iFAST Revenue and net profit declined because of” a decrease in front-end commission income resulting from a significant drop in customers’ investment subscription in unit trusts”. This was one of the key risks mentioned in my thesis so it wasn’t a surprise to me. iFAST is one of the lowest cost investment platforms in Singapore...

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Singapore O&G’s 2018 AGM

SOG is one of the largest positions within my portfolio so I attended the Singapore O&G (SOG) annual shareholder meeting yesterday. Here are the key highlights: SOG market share for baby deliveries increased from 8.0% to 8.9% in 2018. While Dr Heng delivered the most babies within the group, it was the younger O&G doctors who have been driving growth in 2018. This is good news because it reduces dependence on the founding doctors. Management is aiming to achieve 15% market share in baby deliveries over the next five years. SOG aims to hire 2-3 like-minded doctors per year...

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SOG: Winning market share for 5th consecutive year

SOG’s cancer and O&G doctors gained recognition and won market share in 2018. SOG is one of my favourite medical stocks on the SGX. Their share of the private birth market grew for the fifth consecutive year. Based on their 2018 annual report, SOG specialists delivered 1,824 babies in 2018 which works out to a 8.9% market share of the private birth market. 1,824 babies in 2018. Let that sink in for a while. . . . 1,824 babies in 2018 . . That  works out to almost 5 babies a day! It’s pretty impressive because the company’s obstetrician...

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Kingsmen: Growing with the IRs

Kingsmen’s share price was up 7% this week on news involving a SGD9 billion expansion of the two integrated resorts (IRs) in Singapore. Universal Studios Singapore will be adding more attractions and Kingsmen should be well positioned to win some work as they have done SGD100 million of work on the existing theme park which includes the Waterworld and Shrek attractions. Meanwhile, the expansion of MICE facilities in Marina Bay Sands should also lead to more opportunities for Kingsmen given the company’s strong track record in trade shows and exhibitions. The expansion of both IRs could lead to some...

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iFAST update: Moat growing wider

iFAST has published their 2018 annual report with the company reporting the highest growth in client accounts since it was listed. These statistics were previously released in their February 2019 results presentation but they jumped out at me when I was reading their annual report. As of end 2018, the number of client accounts grew 27% year on year to 330,000 which marks the highest growth for the company since it was listed in 2014. The company’s B2B platform also showed healthy growth with the number of advisers using the platform growing 15% year on year. As I mentioned...

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Five Evergreen shares and one test

HRNet and Singapore O&G are the most profitable companies in my portfolio based on the gross profitability ratio. After reading Michael Mauboussin’s excellent Base Rate Book, I applied the gross profitability screen to my existing portfolio. Gross profitability or Gross Profits divided by Total Assets measures a company’s ability to make money and is used as a measure of quality.  Professor Robert Novy-Marx found that the share price of the most profitable non-financial companies tended to outperform the least profitable companies. According to Novy-Marx, a 33% gross profitability ratio is generally regarded as attractive. Lastly, companies with high gross...

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