Author: Of Bulls And Bears

FCL and the Ascending Scallop Pattern – Part 1

For long-term investing, we usually look at fundamental analysis. It may also be useful to combine FA with technical analysis (TA). A pattern was observed in FCL and the “uptick” or ascending scallop pattern may materialize with an uptrend. Neither am I speculating here nor an expert on TA, my prediction is that it will go even higher like most past scallops. Nevertheless, it might go the other way by falling. This will be further updated in a Part 2 post. Disclaimer: -Any comments made in this blog are solely based on opinions -The writer/author of this blog does...

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Are you Tired of your job and considering a change of industry?

Work life balance, does it still exist here? Singapore is a “global central hub”, which means we are very busy at what we do. Competition is high while human resources are scarce given how vast an environment we lived in. Staffs who work at banks often stay back late, same for many else. Even at government jobs, you cannot deny how slow the services are due to the heavy work load. However, government jobs may have the luxury of taking it slow unlike private sectors. At your current job, you may face the similar heavy tonnage of workload and...

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How I achieved a 16.6% Year-To-Date Returns

XIRR incorporates the date of investments into its calculation and this is the reason why it was not in my calculations. I do not see the need to make things complicated when it can be simplified. So how was the 16.6% (as of 27/05/17) derived? It is just a mere excel calculation consisting of the cumulative positive returns from sold shares, current market paper gain and dividends received (along with transaction costs) since 2017 has started. This YTD date figure will change daily, responding to the daily price movements along with the time-to-time dividends received. I may elaborate more...

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Ying Li International

Ying Li International – This “speculative” counter is an extremely undervalued yet profitable company, which price has been going downtrend (book value of 1.96 vs current price of 0.131). However, its Debt to asset ratio has been increasing and it is a bad sign. Currently, it is oversold with a RSI of 24-28. As compared to Mermaid Maritime, both have similar ratios of increasing Debt to asset ratio along with a nose diving net income. However, Mermaid Maritime is making great losses while its price movement had went up in the last few months before giving its way (rising...

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A Quick Glance: Sembcorp Industries

As we should all have known, the SG market is currently selling at premium prices. However, there will always be gems to be uncovered since different equities move in different directions. I personally find that Sembcorp Industries can possibly be a good call with suffice safety margin. Below is a simple breakdown: 1) Operating Nature: Sembcorp Industries is segmented into four major plays, at least as per its financial statements. -Utilities: Its strongest and most defensive segment -Marine: As compared to FY15 deficit, FY16 was a comeback year which it returns to a flat positive net profit. This may be...

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Fortune 500 Rankings: The Top Are Not Necessary the Great

If you stroll through the Fortune Rankings of the world’s companies, you probably see the MNC you are working in at the top 500 list. Or in another instance, your employer may be one of the best or top performers in a particular market or industry which is operating similarly to how the smartphones’ market share is dominated by a few major competitors. The main point here is not that they can be toppled down on any day since it is always possible to fall when one climbed so high. The point to be made here is that being...

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Stocks to watch during this Cum-Dividends Period

In my current watch list, 42% of the Singapore stocks are now trading at CD. This also means most of the stocks are “highly” valued while it does not cancel them as possible potentials. I came to notice Straits Trading and added it into my watch list. It is probably old news but this company deals with quite a number of business such as mining, metals, mineral resources, real estate management and hospitality. It is also a company with long withstanding history and dividends records. Despite recent price surge, it is currently undervalued with potential upside risks. At the...

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Should Moonlighting be encouraged?

I have not updated my blog for a few months as there were not much changes in the market (it is still priced at high levels) and also that I was too busy focusing on my work even on weekends. That is what you get working for big companies and when given a laptop to work with.  Never had I heard of any one saying his or her salary is enough. It is likely most people who want more income outside their monthly pay check will think of “Moonlighting”. Policies for permanent jobs mostly restricted employees to work for...

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This Catalist is selling at its lowest point

Recently, I have made a discovery on a catalist stock, which was one of the top 5 actively traded stocks last Friday- it is both a penny stock and a catalist. I am no speculator but it is interesting observing ,especially when this counter is getting oversold. Having a friend who plays pennies while I am on the contrary a long-term investor, he is a better guide at such trading practice. He claimed that from the looks of it, there is still no bottom despite hitting its all-time lows. If its current price is its support, a rebound is...

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21/1/17: How are my investments doing?

In December, most investors were away for holiday and we were mostly cautious waiting till Trump to step up as President this morning. STI has been growing slowly over the 3,000 range while Dow Jones Index flirts with the 20,000 mark. There are still many expectations about USA’s protectionism policies along with China’s plan to dominate the world. However, USA and China needs each other as much as they would need the world trade. By declaring trade wars, it can only inversely impact their own nations’ exports and profits- I believe. Thus, I am not pretty sure about the...

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Hits and Misses Of 2016

2016 is my first full year of investing and it has taught me a lot of lessons. I believed the same applies to many others who tried to beat the market. Nevertheless, it was a decent year for me. Before I share my 2016 track record, here are my hits and misses. Hindsight/Highlights of 2016: • Finally graduated from university and found a better paying job with greater prospects. Degree may not be something great nowadays but it can be considered an important investment for corporate workers like us. • With the new job, I finally start earning better...

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Singpost and the STI components

Have one ever wondered why Singpost is not in the list of the STI index components while the renowned SingTel, Starhub, Keppel , SGX , SIA , SATS and the 3 financial blue chips are among the constituents. The thought may have come across but a little more research shall clear this mist. Singpost is actually one of them in the reserve list of STI index. Do take a look here to understand why. (No guarantees on its accuracy) Going by the 7 rules/criteria of a defensive investor (Benjamin Graham’s theory), I have given my ratings below but not...

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The Poor Vs The Rich

If you have viewed all my earlier posts, you will know they are all investments related topics. I shall side track from the topic with regards to how unfair the world is as a living being. This actually concerned me a lot for many years, leading to quarrels with my parents as well as my loved one. We all know things are never fair be it in school, work or in life. There are always people who you felt should deserve less because you think you have been through more pain, hardship or have worked harder. Too bad this...

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Stock Picking using SGX’s Stock Facts

The Straits Times Index has been green for 8 consecutive working days and finally came flat on last Friday, 2nd December. Most share prices are getting “expensive” again and probably pricing in more effects of OPEC’s oil production cut and the much anticipated Fed’s rate hike. Personally, I feel it is more of a hold or sell period now unless value is found. As reference to Benjamin Graham’s The Intelligent Investor, Mr. Market is always there to make business with us. He visits us on different days, influencing and offering us a price to buy or sell. That price may...

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Buying on Value

The past 5 days, we saw the banking stocks worldwide making strong movements with huge expectations of a interest rate hike. While most of the other stocks recovered some losses, they were pretty weak to cover back (such as SGX and SingTel). Weakness is opportunity. Thus, I have uploaded some City Development at $8.40, finding its current valuation cheap and with the potential in growth. Despite the drops after getting hold of the shares, I felt that it is already a good bargain and that much negativity has already been priced in. This might not be a long-term investment...

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