Author: BULLy the BEAR

ROE vs PB of regional banks

Just out of curiosity, I did a study on the ROE vs PB ratio for the different banks across the region. I fully understand that it’s not a good apples to apples comparison because different banks have different regulations and capital requirements, and also different rules to recognise profits, bad debts and so on. But it’s still good to see how the banks fare on these two metrics across the board. All the figures are taken from the bestest platform to happen onto me this year: Investingnote. I don’t just use them for the charts, but if you click...

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Capitamalls asia bonds optional redemption

Another bond bites the dust. Don’t worry, this is not from the troubled oil and gas sector. It’s the optional redemption of Capitamalls asia bonds, CapMallA3.8%b220112 announced from sgx here. I blogged about the bonds here and here. The full maturity of the bond is actually on 12-Jan-2022 but there is an option for early redemption on 12-Jan-2017 and every year thereafter. Since there is a step up option for the bond  if it is not redeemed on 12-Jan-2017 to 4.5% instead of 3.8%, I guess there’s every reason for them to redeem it back in full. The 3 months SIBOR...

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Early Retirement Grid

I chanced upon an excellent blog that talks about FIRE (Financial independence Retire early) in 4 pillars. I will take some time to explore the site but I’m liking it already! It’s here, called Four Pillar Freedom. There’s a post called early retirement grid with the following picture below Picture taken from fourpillarfreedom blog post here Basically it shows you how long you take to reach financial independence given your after tax annual income and annual spending. There’s a few assumptions that comes with the table: 1) You’re starting from nothing. It’s good for those who had just been through...

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My 50k savings goal back then and now

I was reading back my previous post on my 50k savings challenge here, and trying to see if there’s any difference between then and now. I first started back in 2009, and it had been 7 yrs since. How time flies! Comparing the difference between 2009 and 2016: 1) Shift in focus between 2009 and 2016 I had a plan on how much to save every month back in 2009 and it was further broken down into weekly goals for savings. That created a lot of stress because I have to watch my expenses like a hawk! While I...

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Choose yourself!

I am reading this book by James Altucher titled Choose Yourself. I’m still in the midst of it but am loving the message that the book is trying to convey. In this kind of economy, there’s not much loyalty for any particular company. Everyone of us has to treat ourselves as a company and behave like we are one! Here’s some tips on choosing yourself from my own experience: 1. Have a personal brand and personality that people know you for I think the general impression I get from people is that I’m very well read, disciplined and reliable....

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Review of financial goals

I wrote about my offensive and defensive strategies two years ago here, but never really got a chance to review it to see if it’s still relevant. Let’s do it now. In that post, I talked about the dilemma of using cash to shave off interest at 2.6% by doing a partial capital repayment, or using it to invest in the market by getting a return of more than 2.6%. It’s not an easy solution and I opted to do both to avoid the two extreme end game scenario of being asset rich but cash poor OR paying excessive...

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Buy High Sell Low, not Buy low Sell High

We often hear this nails-scratching-on-blackboard phrase “Buy low Sell high” until our eyes roll and our skin crawling with goosebumps. There’s truth in it, except that like all aphorism, it’s not as simple as it is. Let’s deconstruct that phrase. Buy low sell high consists of two parts. Firstly, you have to buy at a low and then you have to sell at a high. But unfortunately, the aphorism didn’t really say what we’re buying at a low. It’s implicitly taken to mean buying at a low price and selling at a high price, but I think it’s not...

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Money beliefs and habits

When students come to me for help, the solution is not as simple as telling them to study. They are obviously not doing well, and the reason for them for not studying can come from a variety of reasons. It could be low self esteem, seeking attention from parents or peers, trying to fit in with his close group of friends and so on. Unless the root cause of the problem is dealt with, any methods of improving the grades is just symptomatic treatment and will seldom work for long, if it works at all. Hence, being a tutor...

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My retirement comes annually

As my work winds down for the seasonal lull, I suddenly have a lot more free time. To the point that I don’t know what to do with my time. I’m very used to working 6 to 8 hours of class time on weekdays (not inclusive of preparatory/marking time), so suddenly having only 2 hrs of work or even none takes a little getting used to. Again. Every year end, I’ll face the same situation of getting ‘retrenched’. Every year end, I’ll get my little experience of having retired and/or having reached financial freedom. It’s the same feeling, that...

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The danger of holding too much cash

Today I made a mistake. I was queuing for a counter for about 2 weeks at 1.47. But when the stock started showing surges in its bid and sell volume, I started interpreting it as a sign that the counter will move. Against all reasons, I abandoned my queue and bought at the then sell price of 1.50. It’s only 0.03 cts, yes, and I didn’t buy a lot (4,000 shares only), but it was still a mistake. The mistake was not sticking to my plan, which was to queue at 1.47 until it expires or it hits. On...

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Phillips money market fund (MMF)

It’s been a while since I’ve talked about Phillips money market fund (MMF). A quick search revealed three articles: 1. POEMS money market fund (MMF) (2008) 2. Phillips money market fund (2009) 3. Phillips MMF (2010) I know, from first look, they are all the same or similar sounding titles. No creativity on my part in choosing a title, haha! For those who do not know, money market fund is a collection of short term bonds, deposits and savings. They don’t give out interest like what stocks or even banks do. It’s more like a unit trust where there’s a NAV posted...

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It’s 3 am I must be lonely

Restitutive, Retributive and Reformative. These 3 words keep rolling around in my mind as I woke up in the middle of the night to think about this. It must be around 3am, because that’s the time my aircon timer is set and I usually wake up due to the difference in temperature. I must have read it somewhere, but I’m not sure why this suddenly cropped up. Restitution means to restore or repair something to its original state. Retributive effectively means an eye for an eye. Reformative means to correct or adjust for re-integration into society. Your kid hits...

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CPFIS-OA investors shouldn’t invest? Really?

There’s always a big hoo ha about CPF investors being unable to hit the 2.5% interest rate of ordinary account CPF. The statistics mentioned in this recent news is that over the last 10 years, more than 80% of those who invested their money in CPF would be better off leaving their money in the CPF OA. It’s also stated that 45% of the investors made losses in the scheme. I don’t buy this. I dug further and saw this link for actual report of CPFIS-OA investors in the year ending 30th Sept 2015. For easier reference, I screenshot it...

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How we react to other’s success story

Someone mentioned his success story. You immediately start to think of what are the circumstances that makes him different from you. Maybe he comes from a rich background. Maybe he don’t have NS so he starts working earlier by 2 years. Maybe his parents help him pay the downpayment of his property and his car. Maybe he is single so he don’t have to pay as much as a married couple with child. I’m sure you have thought of this, and so do I. The issue about such thinking is that you start to form a hundred and one...

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Principle of Non-equality of Equal magnitude numbers

Hypothesis: Equal numbers a and b of the same magnitude need not be equal i.e 1+1 is not necessarily equal to 3-1, even though numerically they are both equal to 2. Method of proof: By contradiction Proof A: I have 3 million dollars, but I lost 1 million dollars, so I still have 2 million dollars. I might go jump down. If I have 1 million dollar and I made another million, I now have 2 million dollars, instead I jump for joy. The former makes me jump down, the latter makes me jump up, possibly with fist pumping...

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