Author: BULLy the BEAR

Phillips money market fund (MMF)

It’s been a while since I’ve talked about Phillips money market fund (MMF). A quick search revealed three articles: 1. POEMS money market fund (MMF) (2008) 2. Phillips money market fund (2009) 3. Phillips MMF (2010) I know, from first look, they are all the same or similar sounding titles. No creativity on my part in choosing a title, haha! For those who do not know, money market fund is a collection of short term bonds, deposits and savings. They don’t give out interest like what stocks or even banks do. It’s more like a unit trust where there’s a NAV posted...

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It’s 3 am I must be lonely

Restitutive, Retributive and Reformative. These 3 words keep rolling around in my mind as I woke up in the middle of the night to think about this. It must be around 3am, because that’s the time my aircon timer is set and I usually wake up due to the difference in temperature. I must have read it somewhere, but I’m not sure why this suddenly cropped up. Restitution means to restore or repair something to its original state. Retributive effectively means an eye for an eye. Reformative means to correct or adjust for re-integration into society. Your kid hits...

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CPFIS-OA investors shouldn’t invest? Really?

There’s always a big hoo ha about CPF investors being unable to hit the 2.5% interest rate of ordinary account CPF. The statistics mentioned in this recent news is that over the last 10 years, more than 80% of those who invested their money in CPF would be better off leaving their money in the CPF OA. It’s also stated that 45% of the investors made losses in the scheme. I don’t buy this. I dug further and saw this link for actual report of CPFIS-OA investors in the year ending 30th Sept 2015. For easier reference, I screenshot it...

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How we react to other’s success story

Someone mentioned his success story. You immediately start to think of what are the circumstances that makes him different from you. Maybe he comes from a rich background. Maybe he don’t have NS so he starts working earlier by 2 years. Maybe his parents help him pay the downpayment of his property and his car. Maybe he is single so he don’t have to pay as much as a married couple with child. I’m sure you have thought of this, and so do I. The issue about such thinking is that you start to form a hundred and one...

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Principle of Non-equality of Equal magnitude numbers

Hypothesis: Equal numbers a and b of the same magnitude need not be equal i.e 1+1 is not necessarily equal to 3-1, even though numerically they are both equal to 2. Method of proof: By contradiction Proof A: I have 3 million dollars, but I lost 1 million dollars, so I still have 2 million dollars. I might go jump down. If I have 1 million dollar and I made another million, I now have 2 million dollars, instead I jump for joy. The former makes me jump down, the latter makes me jump up, possibly with fist pumping...

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What’s with the rant against whole life plans?

I bought a whole life plan. In fact, 2 of them. One is a traditional whole life, where you pay until forever. The other is a limited payment whole life, where the payment period is condensed to maybe 5, 10 or 15 yrs, so you pay a higher amount but you can stop paying after. There’s so much vitriol against whole life that I thought I should make some statement FOR whole life, just to provide some yin to balance out the yang. The ultimate question is this: Will I buy a whole life plan now? The answer is...

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Gold and Silver investing guide

Bigscribe released a new free ebook again, and this time it’s about investing in metals. I’m a lay person and I know nothing about investing in metals, so this guide comes as a godsend to fill up my knowledge base. We always hear people talking about investing in metals as a hedge against hyper inflation (like during extreme conditions in wars), so naturally I’m interested to find out more about it. This book talks about buying physical metals, specifically the buying of physical investment grade gold and silver, and the other little details like where to store and so...

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Using Investingnote’s charting platform

I wanted to help those who are newer to Investingnote, my preferred charting software, hence I’m writing this post. I think the people over at Investingnote are really doing a fine job with a free charting software. It’s actually quite powerful and I especially like the real time (okay, it lags by at most 2 minutes) update of the charts. Yahoo finance maybe lags by 10 to 15 mins? I’ve not seen a charting software that updates realtime too, perhaps except those by brokerage platform. But those are pretty laggy and buggy so I don’t like to use them...

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The difference between preferential offer and rights

I just received the booklet from Croesus regarding their preferential offer of 10 new units @ 0.797 for every 259 shares owned on ex-offer date of 3rd Aug 2016 that I blogged about here. I initially thought this is like rights exercise, which I’m very familiar with. But on closer inspection, it is not. Let’s explore what’s the major difference. I think the most important difference is that rights are usually renounceable. This means that if you do not want to take part in the rights and subscribe to it, you can do so by selling it. If you’re...

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The first domino falls

We just heard news of Swiber sudden winding down. DBS is one of the main banks that loans money to Swiber, so their exposure is about 700 million. That’s not a lot of loans, relatively speaking. 700 million is about 0.25% of their total outstanding loans in 2015 and it’s about 15% of their total 2015 net profit. But they are confident of getting half of it back and after tapping onto their general provision, they are net loss of about 150 million. How much is that? It’s about 3.3% of their 2015 net profit. Is that significant? No,...

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Trying to be SMART on SMRT

Stupidity induced by greed. That’s the only way to describe it. Upon announcement of the offer by Temasek holding for the delisting of SMRT at $1.68, I wanted to arbitrage on any possible price difference between the opening price and the offer price. These are the assumptions I make: 1. There’s a dividend of 2.5 cts waiting for me 2. The price that Temasek Holdings offer is too low ball and will be revised upwards With that, I queued overnight at a limit price of 1.675 and got it this morning at a entry price of 1.665. With that...

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Growing my investment portfolio

There are only two ways in which my portfolio can grow without leverage – the first is to inject it with fresh capital, and the second is to grow it organically from dividends/capital appreciation. To grow it by injecting fresh capital, it will have to come from savings. And where do savings come from? From work. After subtracting all the necessary deductions, I’m left with 30k to inject into my warchest every year. When my portfolio is small, say about 100k, this addition of 30k per year into my portfolio will increase it by 30%, which is way more...

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The day SGX stopped trading for 5.5 hrs

On Thurs, 14th July 2016, SGX had to halt trading for all its counters around 1130 pm. At first, it’s supposed to resume trading at 2pm after lunch, but at 2pm when I was eagerly waiting to see if there’s any movement from my brokerage platform, I was disappointed. Nothing moved. Later it was announced that it trading will be resumed at 4pm instead. Yet again, at 4pm, none of the counters moved. The last announcement regarding this screw up was that there won’t be any trading for the rest of the day and the market is closed. I...

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Who is being speculative?

A value investor, a trader and a gambler goes into a bar. After a drink or two, they started arguing over which of them is speculating in the market. The value investor says that the other two are not basing their investments on fundamental reasons and treating the buying of their part business ownership like digits, hence the two are speculative. The traders says that the other two did not consult the technical aspect and the price action of the charts before putting in their money, hence the two are speculative. The gambler says the other two did not...

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Croesus Retail trust preferential offering

Those holding Croesus retail trust needs to fork out money again. This was after their most recent rights back in Oct 2015 which I’ve blogged about here, here and here. There is now a preferential offering exercise going on, and in all respects, we can treat this as a rights exercise. Here’s the details: The dilution isn’t that much. It’s an offer of 10 new shares for every 259 shares held before it goes XR, priced at $0.797 for every new shares. Why 259? I’ve no idea, must be the doing of their financial wizards. If you own 10,000...

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