Author: BULLy the BEAR

Using Investingnote’s charting platform

I wanted to help those who are newer to Investingnote, my preferred charting software, hence I’m writing this post. I think the people over at Investingnote are really doing a fine job with a free charting software. It’s actually quite powerful and I especially like the real time (okay, it lags by at most 2 minutes) update of the charts. Yahoo finance maybe lags by 10 to 15 mins? I’ve not seen a charting software that updates realtime too, perhaps except those by brokerage platform. But those are pretty laggy and buggy so I don’t like to use them...

Read More

The difference between preferential offer and rights

I just received the booklet from Croesus regarding their preferential offer of 10 new units @ 0.797 for every 259 shares owned on ex-offer date of 3rd Aug 2016 that I blogged about here. I initially thought this is like rights exercise, which I’m very familiar with. But on closer inspection, it is not. Let’s explore what’s the major difference. I think the most important difference is that rights are usually renounceable. This means that if you do not want to take part in the rights and subscribe to it, you can do so by selling it. If you’re...

Read More

The first domino falls

We just heard news of Swiber sudden winding down. DBS is one of the main banks that loans money to Swiber, so their exposure is about 700 million. That’s not a lot of loans, relatively speaking. 700 million is about 0.25% of their total outstanding loans in 2015 and it’s about 15% of their total 2015 net profit. But they are confident of getting half of it back and after tapping onto their general provision, they are net loss of about 150 million. How much is that? It’s about 3.3% of their 2015 net profit. Is that significant? No,...

Read More

Trying to be SMART on SMRT

Stupidity induced by greed. That’s the only way to describe it. Upon announcement of the offer by Temasek holding for the delisting of SMRT at $1.68, I wanted to arbitrage on any possible price difference between the opening price and the offer price. These are the assumptions I make: 1. There’s a dividend of 2.5 cts waiting for me 2. The price that Temasek Holdings offer is too low ball and will be revised upwards With that, I queued overnight at a limit price of 1.675 and got it this morning at a entry price of 1.665. With that...

Read More

Growing my investment portfolio

There are only two ways in which my portfolio can grow without leverage – the first is to inject it with fresh capital, and the second is to grow it organically from dividends/capital appreciation. To grow it by injecting fresh capital, it will have to come from savings. And where do savings come from? From work. After subtracting all the necessary deductions, I’m left with 30k to inject into my warchest every year. When my portfolio is small, say about 100k, this addition of 30k per year into my portfolio will increase it by 30%, which is way more...

Read More

The day SGX stopped trading for 5.5 hrs

On Thurs, 14th July 2016, SGX had to halt trading for all its counters around 1130 pm. At first, it’s supposed to resume trading at 2pm after lunch, but at 2pm when I was eagerly waiting to see if there’s any movement from my brokerage platform, I was disappointed. Nothing moved. Later it was announced that it trading will be resumed at 4pm instead. Yet again, at 4pm, none of the counters moved. The last announcement regarding this screw up was that there won’t be any trading for the rest of the day and the market is closed. I...

Read More

Who is being speculative?

A value investor, a trader and a gambler goes into a bar. After a drink or two, they started arguing over which of them is speculating in the market. The value investor says that the other two are not basing their investments on fundamental reasons and treating the buying of their part business ownership like digits, hence the two are speculative. The traders says that the other two did not consult the technical aspect and the price action of the charts before putting in their money, hence the two are speculative. The gambler says the other two did not...

Read More

Croesus Retail trust preferential offering

Those holding Croesus retail trust needs to fork out money again. This was after their most recent rights back in Oct 2015 which I’ve blogged about here, here and here. There is now a preferential offering exercise going on, and in all respects, we can treat this as a rights exercise. Here’s the details: The dilution isn’t that much. It’s an offer of 10 new shares for every 259 shares held before it goes XR, priced at $0.797 for every new shares. Why 259? I’ve no idea, must be the doing of their financial wizards. If you own 10,000...

Read More

The Animal School

Thanks to sillyinvestor for egging me on to write something in my blog. Been a busy June for me and I’m still recuperating lol! But here’s a very good story inspired by an article I read recently here. It’s a very good article but also a sad one for me. I’m not sure why though. It’s like something is lost and yet nobody knows it. Imagine losing a precious thing to you, but you didn’t notice it because you had forgotten the thing was once precious to you. It’s a doubly sort of loss. Here’s the Animal School by...

Read More

Bullish / Bearish divergence

I thought I’ll never write another article on technical analysis again. But here I go again. I trade on divergence, so it’s a counter trend trading, if you want to classify which school of TA I’m into. Divergence means that there is a pair of things moving in opposite direction. One of the pair is invariably the price of the counter. The other pair could be any indicator, but the one I’m using is MACD histogram. Bullish divergence happens when the price reached a lower low but the indicator reached a higher low. It’s easier to explain this with...

Read More

Are we there yet?

Having read Kyith’s post here and 15hww’s post here about financial security, I thought I should try it out for myself and see the necessary figures needed to reach financial independence. It’s not so much as a fixed set of goal to reach by certain age, but more like a milestone or achievement kind of thing. It’s like you play games and when you collect 999 of each items, or you pass through each stages of the games without losing any health, you get an achievement medal. Gamify the journey, if you will. So the first thing is to...

Read More

It’s good to be inefficient

We always try our best to optimise things and make things more efficient. Even in finance, to optimise is to eliminate waste and to streamline all the financial process to produce the least waste and maximise the most returns. But we don’t always have to be like that. Inefficiency creates redundancies. It creates a space where there are excess capacities that can be tapped when the norm is changed, sometimes drastically so. Take for example our local MRT transportation system. Before the NEL is up, I fondly remembered that there are buses ferrying passengers from the north-eastern part of...

Read More

Your 3 buckets of time

Each day there are 24 hours, no more no less. There are 7 days in a week too, so in total, there are 24 x 7 = 168 hours per week. If we divide 168 hours into 3 buckets of ‘time’, we will have 56 hours in one bucket, with a total of 3 such buckets. Let’s look at the first red bucket. This is meant for sleep. If we have 8 hours of sleep per day over 7 days, we’ll need 8 x 7 = 56 ¬†hours. This is exactly the number of hours we have in each...

Read More

Triangle of success

I am reading this book by Neil Parischa, called the ‘Happiness Equation’. I’m about 25% done and I thought it was a brilliant book – brilliant enough to share some of the stuff here. One of the interesting things I’ve read in the book is the concept about success. Any kind of success. It’s really a triangle formula depicting the elements of success. Sales success is about sales. Able to sell multiple copies if you’re selling something. Able to get promoted if you’re talking about career. I think this is what we see as tangible results based on common...

Read More

Half year review 2016

I had a very productive half year 2016. From the 1st Jan, I had already started the year running. With the most heartfelt gratitude towards my ex-students and those parents who recommended friends to me, I spent very little time catching up on my income to bring it near to where I had left it last year. As a private tutor, every year I will have a mini ‘retrenchment’ exercise, where the graduating students leave and a new batch of students come in to take their place. It’s the time waiting between the leaving and the coming that is...

Read More

Like us on Facebook

Follow us on Twitter