Author: SGXcafe

Rank and Compare Stocks Based on What Matters to You

Out of the several hundred stocks listed in SGX, how do you choose which one to buy? Use value investing to find the undervalued stocks? Find stocks with huge growth potential? Find income stocks that would give high and stable dividends for many years to come? Or…? Everyone has their own school of thought (e.g. Value investing, Growth investing, Income investing, etc) for choosing what stock to buy. And of course, different schools of thought would use different metrics to find that best stock. Value investors would use ratios such as low price-to-earnings (P/E) and price-to-book (P/B) to find...

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SGXcafe Will Continue To Stay Free

Long Story ShortSGXcafe will continue to be free, but to cover for the high operating costs due to licensing, I would like to invite you to do one or more of the following if you would like to show your support for SGXcafe. 1) Help increase awareness of SGXcafe. You can do this via your blog, share SGXcafe’s articles on facebook, or simply via word of mouth to people whom you believe can benefit from SGXcafe. 2) Donate to SGXcafe. Any amount is greatly appreciated, but if you make a donation of at least SGD 30 (which is less...

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Dividends Collected is Back, and Better Than Before

These days, I have been preoccupied with making the switch to using properly licensed data from data I used to crawl from all over the internet. There are still some issues to iron out, but otherwise it is progressing quite well. Due to the switch, I had to take down several features temporarily, and one of the features that went offline was “Dividends Collected”. “Dividends Collected” essentially computes the dividends that you would have collected over the years based on your transaction records in SGXcafe. This is certainly one feature that many users loved as many have been inquiring...

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Coming Back Soon: Dividend Information and More

It has been two weeks since my last update. I am happy to share that most administrative issues with SGX and third party data providers have been handled. Next on the list would be to tackle the technical issues of integrating data that I have licensed into SGXcafe. I have already started integrating dividend information, since this is something numerous users have been asking me about. At this point of writing, you should already see some dividend information already back up. I will continue to add more dividend information in various places progressively. Interestingly, my data provider packages fundamental...

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A Quick Update

It has been a week since the survey. Thank you to all who responded to the survey. The survey results are quite open to interpretation. If we simply look at the absolute number of people willing to pay to keep SGXcafe going, the logical choice would be to close SGXcafe as it is far from sufficient. However, if we look at the percentage of people willing to pay, it is quite encouraging as 42% of the people who took the survey is willing to support SGXcafe by paying a small monthly fee. In addition, only a fraction of users...

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Help Shape SGXcafe’s Future

Note: There is a one-question survey at the end of the post, and your input is appreciated. Today, I am writing because SGXcafe has reached a crossroad. You might know that SGXcafe started out as a personal project, but I made it available for public use when I thought it might help other small retail investors like myself invest better. However, SGX recently contacted me and said that SGXcafe needs appropriate licensing to continue running. The amount ranges from several hundreds to several thousands a month, depending on how much data is licensed. It has always been my intention...

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Decide When to Buy or Sell Using Short Selling Activities

Here is a question: How do you decide when to buy or sell a stock?I started trading in SGX a year ago, and every time I have money to invest, I always wonder “Should I buy now? But if not now, then when?” Since I didn’t have a good answer to that question, what I’ve been doing till now is simply buy the best stock that fits my portfolio whenever I have cash. That was the best I could do then, but I believed there must be a better way to do this and have been thinking about it....

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Stay Alert with SGXcafe

  In an ideal world, we would be able to monitor the stock market around the clock, so that we would know the instant the stock reaches a price we’ve been gunning for, or when the stock we’ve KIV-ed at the back of our minds is approaching the ex-dividend date. Alas, we don’t live in an ideal world, and even if we did, it would get pretty exhausting after a while having to watch like a hawk over the 47 different stocks we are interested in. This is the part where I tell you the good news. With SGXcafe’s...

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Manage and Share Your Portfolio Effortlessly

Are you keeping track of your portfolio by Excel or some other tedious method? There is a way to do it painlessly, and it even allows you to share it on your own site with just a single line of html code! The best part? It’s all available for free! There are many awesome financial bloggers in Singapore who share their portfolios on their blog. To me, it is to demonstrate that having a good passive income is not rocket science and it is possible for anyone. However, many of these portfolios are often a static web page that...

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SGXcafe Turns One! Thank You!

The first SGXcafe article was released on 15 March 2015, so SGXcafe officially turns one today! Many things have happened in this one year. One thousand daily visitors In this one year, SGXcafe has grown from just one daily visitor (me) to more than a thousand daily visitors now. I’m so glad so many people enjoy using SGXcafe. Thank you for your support! Invest using only SGXcafe I have added all the information and features that are needed for me to depend solely on SGXcafe to make all my stock market investment decisions and portfolio management. This was one...

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Improved Dividend Strength Estimator

In a previous article, I introduced a model which uses fundamental data to estimate Dividend Strength, P(“same or more dividends next year” | “predicted to be giving same or more dividends next year”). Numerous people have shown interest in this estimation model, therefore I decided to spend more time improving its performance. Its performance have increased from AUC (Area Under ROC) of 0.65 to 0.7. To put it simply, its performance when pitted against random guessing has improved from 30% (0.65 / 0.5) to 40% (0.7 / 0.5), as random guessing would give us an AUC of 0.5. I...

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Do You Keep Your Extra Cash in the Bank? There Are Better Options Out There!

The company that I am currently working for in Tokyo has a cafeteria that serves free lunch to all employees, hence during lunchtime, we would get together for lunch and chat. Occasionally, the topic about money management would come up, and to date, I have yet to find a Japanese colleague who invests in the stock market, citing reasons of either finding it too risky, lack of knowledge, or more commonly, both. They would instead keep their money in the bank that gives virtually zero interest. In fact, banks in Japan charge you for withdrawing your own money from...

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Dividend Strength Estimator

Like many others, I enjoy buying stocks that pay good dividends. The challenge is in identifying companies that will be able to pay good dividends year after year.Many might suggest reading through years of financial statements, as well as getting to know the top management and their vision for the company as it is the ideal way of projecting its future cashflow and thus, dividends. I do agree that that might be a good way, but the lazy statistician part of me prefers to view it as a statistical game (because looking forward, I believe everything is probabilistic no...

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Growing Dividends – Does Debt-to-equity Ratio and Operating Cashflow Matter? (Part 2)

In the previous article, I looked at how Debt-to-equity and Operating Cashflow (referred to as DER and OC from hereon) would influence Dividend Per Share (DPS). In particular, I looked at see how change of DER and change of OC in year X influences the DPS in year X+1. In this article, I would like to focus on the how absolute DER and absolute OC in year X could be a predictor of DPS in year X+1. Methodology For chi-square test, discrete data is required. In the previous article, I simply chose zero as the splitting point, which was...

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Growing Dividends – Does Debt-to-equity Ratio and Operating Cashflow Matter?

I believe there are many investors like me who love to invest in companies that pay dividends. Naturally, we hope that companies we invest in would have growing dividends. So, the question is “How can we differentiate companies that will have growing dividends from others?”In an attempt to find an answer to this question, I will perform a series of analyses in this and upcoming articles. Today, I will focus on two metrics that are commonly thought to be useful in forecasting if a company is capable of distributing the same or higher dividends in future. They are Debt-to-equity...

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