Author: The ThumbTack investor

Convertible Bonds + Bye Bye LTC!

Zero posts in the past few weeks, and for good reason too. Phew. I’ve been busy working on the convertible bond offering, and finally, I’ve some tangible results to show for it. As I was discussing with a friend, life is really funny sometimes. Sometime ago, I was looking for potential co-investors and not getting much headway after meeting many different folks. Barely a week later, I’m now kinda flooded and am not really looking for any more capital. There’s a limit to the amount of convertible bonds that’s allotted to me anyway. I have to keep some for...

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1Q 2018 Report Card

1st up, I’d clarify, as I’ve always done so for previous quarterly report cards, that I track returns using XIRR. So this means that the time value of cash is taken into account in the results, but it also skews the annualized XIRR figures for now, as it’d assume the exact same rate of return for the rest of the year. For 1Q 2018, STI ETF produced a XIRR of 4.01%, inclusive of dividends. TTI’s portfolio, inclusive of US holdings and options, produced a XIRR of 6.22%.  AUM grew to $1,462,273.22, inclusive of capital injections, of which almost 35%...

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An In-depth Look Into Volatility By TTI

I swear I did not time this article. LOL. Barely 6 weeks past the previous armageddon scenario with VIX going ballistic, it seems like everything’s beginning to repeat itself. In the previous post (The Big Short: TTI’s Version. But Where Are My Millions?!), I wrote about my personal experience. Since then, I’ve spent the past several weeks understanding volatility and its derivatives more. This is an add-on to the previous post, and hopefully, a dissection of my new insights. There hasn’t been any new updates here for a while, as I’ve been bustling around. As mentioned in my earlier...

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The Big Short: TTI’s Version. But Where Are My Millions?!

SG TTI has a new feature! Right there, at the top bar, under “Latest Corporate News” will be a newsfeed, run by PRNewswire Singapore. Check it out. It’s not very user friendly right now though tbh, I’m not sure if they can incorporate it into the side bar or something, so that it’s constantly running. (They probably can, but I dunno how to) Let’s see if they can do it up better for SG TTI. A long time reader recently emailed me to discuss about my macro views. (I’d leave it to him whether he wants to identify himself...

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“Where Art Thou, White Knight?” – LTC Corporation’s Privatization Offer.

My style is to normally have some frivolous stuff at the start, before jumping into the hardcore investing stuff. But since I’m here paging for some deep pocketed white knight to look at unlocking the value for LTC Corporation (further), I’d better just get into it right at the get-go. Last Friday (I think it was the 9th Feb), was one of those rare days whereby I literally bounced around with a spring in my step. EVERYTHING went well for me that day. Like everything. But I’ll just talk about 1. It was 1 of those days whereby I...

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Divestment Of Shinsho Corporation & Kobe Steel – TTI’s Post-Mortem

1stly, some thanks is in order. Lilin from SGX told me they’re sending “Team ThumbTack” (as they so affectionately put it) some red packets for CNY, and I was expecting a couple of packs in the mail. Then my guard passed me this: Inside was a massive box of several packs of red packets. Wow, that’s enough for several CNYs. How’s that for some festive mood? Plus they’re smart enough to have generic red packets that can be used regardless of which year it is. So thank you, SGX! 3 months ago, in Nov 2017, I wrote about my...

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Evidence Based Investing – TTI’s Case Reports

In medicine, clinicians have to practise evidence-based medicine. What does that mean? It means you can’t just carry out a procedure or a treatment, based on your mood, your personal beliefs or what you personally think will work, even if you have strong personal grounds to believe it’d work, or even if you have good intentions. You get into trouble for doing that. Good intentions, no matter how pure, is not a defence. Everything must be evidence based, that is, based on literature from research work done by heroes who devote their lives to doing research, all for the...

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Experts In WEF Davos + Updates On Shinsho Corporation

I’ve been getting myself updated with the views (At least, the publicly stated ones) of experts attending the World Economic Forum in Davos. Not sure why it’s always held there. It looks terribly cold. How to think? LOL. Several years ago, I was stuck in Switzerland for an entire month, and I used that time to travel around the entire Switzerland, yet I never thought of going near Davos. It’s just so… isolated. How did I get stuck in Switzerland? I was in Geneva for a conference. Around that time, an Icelandic volcano erupted, and the ash cloud drifted...

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What A Start To 2018!

The markets are just going crazy! It’s only been 11 days into the new year, 8 of which are trading days, and SG TTI’s portfolio has gotten an explosive start to 2018, like Powell getting out of the starting blocks for the 100m. (I’d use Usain Bolt, but he’s not known to be an explosive starter. He usually catches up and crosses the competition somewhere in the middle of the 100m dash) In my last post (Ding Ding Ding! Closing Bell To 2017. Results Are In!), I put up the non-SG equity portion: This is that same data set...

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Ding Ding Ding! Closing Bell To 2017. Results Are In!

Bye Bye 2017. As I turn my back on 2017, I can’t help but think that its really been a bittersweet year. Dunno if I should be happy or disappointed. My benchmark has always been STI ETF. The rationale is that if over the long term, I can’t beat a passive, idiot proof way of investing, then why bother? Yet, STI ETF has been a tough competitor. I suspect most people trading their way around actually fail to beat STI ETF. Most don’t even bother to keep track, so they wouldn’t even recognize their fallibility. Anyhow, this is what...

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Options Records In Oct & Nov 2017

It’s been a very very busy period for me, and I’m juggling many balls at once. So I shall take the easy way out and just cut and paste my options transactions in the past 2 months. Anyway, I am also genuinely interested to know what’s the cashflow like for the past 2 months. I track each transaction, but haven’t been tabulating on a monthly basis and comparing to prior months, like what I have done previously: A Unique Arbitrage Situation + Results From Options Strategy (3rd Month) Geo Vs GEAR! + Options Update As mentioned previously, I’ve also...

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TTI’s New Core Position: Shinsho Corporation & Kobe Steel

Traditionally, towards the end of the year, me and my wife would discuss travel plans for the next year. We each get to choose 1 destination, and we’d fill in the spots with nearer, easier to get to places as and when time (and mood) permits. Here’s my pick for 2018: Make a guess where this is. It’s frequently listed on every “Top 10 places to see before you die” YouTube videos. Plus I absolutely love places with a rich history. It makes my skin tingle when I’m there, thinking that several hundred years ago, in a totally different...

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TTI Is Banking On The Eighth Wonder Of The World

It’s funny how my portfolio updates and performance tracking posts generate so many views. It really is. It takes me minimal time to write up those posts, since I track the returns on my own anyway, so it’s just cutting and pasting. It doesn’t take much effort to pen my thoughts either since I’m very well familiarized with the companies I own, and can write it off the top of my head. Yet these posts generate so much more interests than other generic posts that sometimes take a lot more effort to research, find data, compile, analyze and present....

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TTI’s Portfolio Updates – November 2017

October 2017 was a busy month for me, in terms of portfolio changes. I made 2 complete divestitures, and feel really good about them. This is just a quick update, and some of my accompanying thoughts as we go into the earnings season next week. 1. LTC Corporation I currently own 240,000 shares. LTC did pretty well YTD, rising a very respectable 26.42%. (In any other year, 26.42% would’ve been a monster year, but this year, the bar has been raised considerably by STI ETF) I wrote about my thoughts at the end of 2016 after analyzing the FY16....

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Wealth Destruction Behaviors – TTI’s Personal Anecdotes

For those who have requested for complimentary SGX Bull Charge tickets and signed up, SGX has informed me that race pack collection will be available from 3rd November onwards. SGX will send you guys another email closer to the date, so do look out for that. I’d probably take it as a time trial, so if you see a chap running seriously like he’s going to compete with Mok Ying Ren, that could very well be me. HAH! There hasn’t been any updates on SG TTI for the past 3 weeks, as I bunker down to get some serious...

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