Author: Wealth Directions

Predicting the price top is as easy as ABC – Part 2

“Buy Low, Sell High” to make profit…. Everyone knows this.  But how high is high?  How low is low?  The question is translated to: “when should I buy?” or “when should I sell?” With the recent market’s rout, did you manage to sell your position? Or at least, cut loss at 5% or 10%, or did you even have the courage to cut lost? Or just, pray and hope? In this article, I will share a simple and intriguing way to “predict” the price top, so that you don’t have to suffer a big loss, or even bought at the...

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Global Stock Market Crash?

Global stock markets of 4 major economy: US, China, Japan and Germany have achieved 75% optimism. Therefore, it is not a surprise to see major correction in the past 1 month. We should follow Optimism from Level 1 (individual stock) to Level 2 (sector) to Level 3 (country/region) to Level 4 (world). Although Singapore STI and Hong Kong HSI have been only 50+% optimism in the past few years, they are smaller market, we need to follow a bigger market to evaluate our probability of success with Optimism. High optimism = high risk, 75% World Optimism means the chances...

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Predicting the price top is as easy as ABC – Part 1

“Buy Low, Sell High” to make profit…. Everyone knows this.  But how high is high?  How low is low?  The question is translated to: “when should I buy?” or “when should I sell?” With the recent market’s rout, did you manage to sell your position? Or at least, cut loss at 5% or 10%, or did you even have the courage to cut lost? Or just, pray and hope that the price will go back up again? In this article, I will share a simple and intriguing method to “predict” the price top, so that you don’t have to suffer a...

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Debate: Will we have good jobs in next 20 years? Probably not

Singapore has enjoyed a meteoric rise from Third World to First World in just 50 years. What were the success factors for our success? Will it continue to work for us in the next 20 years? If there are risks, how can we be prepared? These are the key questions we are asking our readers think about as we reflect our 50 years of nation building. Click to discuss at our Facebook page. Debate in FB Did you know a recent poll reported that on average, Singaporean need $1.38M to retire? While there may be many success factors and some...

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First Reit- Price is high so time to say bye?

At current price level ($1.430), First Reit has the highest Price/Nav ratio at 1.45 among all other Singapore Reits. Plus their price now is near to all time high. So is it time to say good-bye to this counter? First Reit Background This counter has been very good to me. In fact it is my best performing dividend counter thus far. I bought it for $0.73 in 2011 and bought more at at $1.088 in 2013. Just capital gain alone is 55% not including the dividend collected. So naturally, I will ask myself if I should take some profit...

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FSL Trust – It could be a hidden gem (follow up 2)

I’m writing a quick follow up.  You can read the first writeup here and first follow up here. Let’s revisit the ABC Wave Patterns I shared in the first writeup. Let’s see the latest chart (2 year chart) below If you notice, from the bottom in 2014, the price movement has exhibited 5 waves movement.  If you understand Elliot Wave theory, you most likely know what it means. The recent high, $0.193 has reached the C.max target (black line) calculated back in Early January 2015.  Did I sell that high?  Nope.  I sold mine average around $0.16, and it’s a about...

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Denied entry to SUNTEC REIT AGM

I bought SUNTEC in 2012 and I was really looking forward to the AGM to assess if I should sell some when prices are quite high now.  But the receptionist stopped me at my track and told me my name was not on the Suntec Reit investors list and I was not allowed in to the AGM! At this point of time, my mind went on hyper drive trying to figure out what happened. I mean, how can I can be wrong? Could it be I sold it unknowingly? Am I going to lose my 35% gain? Or someone hacked...

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Buy or Sell in May with Bullish China and Hong Kong Stock Markets?

For a complete understanding of the investment market, we need to perform 4 levels of analysis: L1 = individual stock, L2 = sector / industry, L3 = country / region, L4 = world. These 4 levels will interact with one another to generate the complex stock market responses.  From the past 5 years of regional stock indices (see Figure) in Singapore, China, Hong Kong and USA, we could observe the following important trends and correlations, which could help us in making the right positions for the next 1 year: In the earlier stage, due to different political economy policies,...

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Apple Inc. – A Hidden Pattern that People may Missed Out

This is my first time in posting analysis a specific stock in US.  And it goes to Apple Inc.  the most famous technology company on earth with market capitalisation of around US$700 billion, which is close to 3 (three) times of Singapore’s Total Foreign Reserves as of Mar 2015 (about US$ 250 billion only).  A staggering figure it seems. However, that’s not my point in analysing Apple.  Last night, when I was eating an apple; I meant literally eating apple…  I did the analysis, and found an intriguing pattern in its 10-year daily chart.  See below: Apple Inc. 10 Year...

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Video- Kenneth Monthly Investment sharing (Stock tips)

This month, I will be talking about what I think about Stock investment tips and a business segment that we should pay attention to when there is a bull run. As usual, I have created 2 videos. One in English and the other in Chinese. Hope you will enjoy the videos. Monthly Investment sharing by Kenneth Tan (Stock Investment Tips) in English. 这个月,我将谈论: 该听股票Tips吗?此外,我也将分享当有一个牛市, 我们需要注意一个业务部门。希望你会喜欢的视频。  月度股票交流与投资辅导班 If you like to learn more about stock investment, click here to find out how: http://wealthdirections.asia/learn-proven-safe-stock-investment-strategies-for-beginners/ The post Video- Kenneth Monthly Investment sharing (Stock tips) appeared first on Stock Investment...

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SingPost – Will you buy the stock at this price? I won’t, and if I’m wrong I am OK.

First of all, I have not read SingPost’s fundamentals, and I have no position on the stock. So, my sharing here is purely from TA view, and particularly from ABC Wave Pattern analysis. As some of you who have read my postings, the simple ABC formula as follows: C.min = A.high – A.low + B.low C.max = 2 x (A.high – A.low) + B.low See the chart and the ABC waves I’ve drawn on them. Then you judge yourself whether Singpost’s price can go *much* higher or not, or it requires consolidation, or correction… If you are the one...

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DOW Jones Index – When I analysed this with US$ Index – Wow, I was surprised on the upside!

Since DOW hit 18,000 briefly in late Dec 2014, it has made some volatile moves.  Up or down as much as 400 points in a day.  This is the problem in looking at the shorter term, and if you are playing it in the shorter term as well. I love to see big picture.  What I mean is that I like to see longer terms chart.  And of course, with my favorite, I’ve been using ABC Wave Pattern to guide me in looking the next target. See the two charts of DOW Jones index and US$ index below.  They are...

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Personal Story of Ein55: Bridging Scientific World and Investment World

For so many years, I still cannot get rid of my old habit in the first phase of my life in scientific world: whenever I have new ideas (even when sleeping), I would wake up anytime at night (eg sleeping 2:30am just now, waking up 5:30am), writing down all the new ideas in dreams, then formulating the theories into applications. Later research shows that this is actually how the right brain (creativity, breaking through ideas) could help the left brain (logic, systematic).  This characteristic has helped me to achieve the peak of my scientific career, an engineering PhD with...

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FSL Trust – It could be a hidden gem (follow up 1)

Please read my earlier posting about FSL here. Today, the FSL’s volume is encouraging, more people interested on the stock? See the Trading Summary below (courtesy of ShareInvestor.com). The volume of Buy Up is more than double than that of volume of Sell Down.  This typically shows that more people are eager to buy the shares without queuing up to get the price they want.  In other words, demand is more than supply.  Naturally, the demand-supply law says that when the demand is higher then the price will go up. Notes from shareinvestor.com on Buy Up and Sell Down: Buy Up...

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Valuetronics – You can ride on a cycle with ABC Wave Pattern

I want to share the benefit I got by using ABC Wave Pattern Analysis. Valuetronics (BN2.SI) Fundamentally, the company in a great shape. It has been giving dividend for the past 5 years. Those who bought at 20 cents enjoying about 10% per year. I bought it in May 2014 at $0.32 and sold it averaged around $0.54 in July. Some reasons on selling (see the chart below): Firstly, it has passed the min target (C.min black color) of $0.44. Secondly, it run up too fast and furious. See the price movement is way above its 200d MA.  This...

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