Author: Xeolyenomics | The Game of Economics

4 Reasons Why USD is Weakening and Possible Future Trends

Shortly after the US Presidential elections, the USD shot up and hitting a multi-year high, with investors expecting that a newly inaugurated President Trump will be able to revitalize the US economy through tax cut, infrastructure building and trade sanctions which all will assist in the strengthening of the USD. 8 months later, the USD has reached a 2 year low and has fallen rapidly by 6% against SGD within this short period of time. There are 4 main reasons behind this sharp decline: Reason 1: Chaos in Trump Administration The rush of scandals that engulf the Trump administration...

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Debtzilla – Game Design Diary Part II: Money Mechanics

After 1 year of design work and 13 design blueprints later, Debtzilla the board game is finally born. The biggest challenge of designing Debtzilla is the challenge of incorporating various important money concepts such as income statement and compound interest without resorting to players filling out a real balance sheet and whipping out their calculators. The other challenge is to create a game that flows, easy to learn, builds tension gradually to a climax and engaging the players at an intense level making them feel that time flies by quickly. A Logical Timeline In Debtzilla, a daily routine is...

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Will Central Bank Tightening Derail the Bull Market?

The Trump bull rally that has been raging in the past few months have come to a halt in June. Let us take a look at some of the significant events for the month and its complication. Mess at UK Election The UK Prime Minister Theresa May called for an election in a bid to strengthen her coalition going into the Brexit talks with the European Union. Her lead in polls have been derailed by a series of campaign communication errors and terrorist attacks, leading to the Conservative party in losing their parliamentary majority. Results:  The stock market barely blinked...

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So You Want to Be an Asian Board Game Designer?

When Capital Gains Studio first entered into the tabletop scene in Singapore, many of the previous generation of tabletop game publishers have thrown in the towel and left the scene all together, along with their industry knowledge and competency.  With no established publishers in the region, game designers often have to double up as game publishers and we can totally understand why our predecessors left as the board game publishing environment in this part of the world. Making tabletop games in this part of the world is harsh and unforgiving. We started with wanting to just design a simple...

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Missing out on the Emerging Market Rally? Think Twice before jumping on

China is Recovering! Emerging Market Equities Soars! You may have read similar headlines in the past few weeks and may be tempted to jump onto the Emerging Market bandwagon to reap the returns. Afterall, Emerging Market equities have soared 18% this year and the trend seems to be unstoppable. Popular news channel are optimistic about the China reforms and Asia is where all the growth is after all. For those market watcher, you will get a feeling of deja vu. The reason behind, this trend of Emerging Market out-performance seems to be the recurring pattern for the past few...

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Why Commodities is in a Sweet Spot to Invest in

The idea of business cycle investing is simple. Allocate more of your resource based on the different stages of the economy cycle. Invest in stock and property during the recession and early recovery of an economic cycle. Invest in commodities and financial related stock during the growth to stagnancy stage of the economic cycle as inflation and interest rates start to accelerate. The last stage whereby the economy swings back into recession is the time to hold on to cash and bonds. This simplistic assumption held true for the past century when United States is the sole super economic...

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How to Improve the Risk Return of your Bond Portfolio

A well balanced investment portfolio typically has a bond component which will help to smooth out the volatility of the portfolio and gives investors some safe buffer to take advantage of any market correction or crash when it occurs, without needing the investor to top up the investment portfolio with cash. As the global economies move towards the more mature end of the economic cycle, it is often prudent to lock in the profits made during the better times and increase the allocation towards bonds.  However, in the current rising interest rate environment, the performance of bonds will be...

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March: The Month of Financial & Political Minefields

One and a half month after the inauguration of Donald Trump as the President of United States of America, the world is still trying to figure out his stand in foreign affairs. The immediate concern of the financial market right now, is to see whether President Trump is able to pull off his promise of lowering the US tax rate and increasing government spending at the same time. With US budget discussion in full force, the financial markets are scrutinizing his every single move to see how the debate will lead to. It is the promise of a Trump...

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The 2017 Fengshui Guide to the Stock Market

As we ease into the year of the Rooster, experts all over the year put in a piece of their opinion how the market will fare. As a part of our annual tradition, we shall turn to the world of metaphysics and Fengshui to give us an insight how 2017 will be. However, before that, let us take a look to see how Fengshui has been accurate in predicting 2016: The year of the unpredictable fire monkey (Yeah Donald Trump and Brexit!) From the looks of the two graphs, looks like Fengshui got most of the predictions wrong. But...

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Debtzilla – Game Design Diary Part I: Theme

Right after the launch of Wongamania: Banana Economy, I started to brainstorm on a new game which can portray another aspect of the world of finance. There has been requests from different sectors on different subjects. Some wanted me to create value stock investment game, some wanted me to focus on commodity and there are ideas on using a game to teach people about real estate investing. However, as we reach out to more people, it became apparent that debt is a common topic among the man on the streets. There has been rising cases of young people getting into...

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How I Hedge Against Donald Trump Before the US Presidential Election

2016 is a year of the possibilities. Brexit happened when nobody thought it is possible. Donald Trump became the President of United States when nobody thought it is possible. The recent US Presidential election caught the financial world by surprise again with the global bond market and emerging markets bearing the brunt of the backlash. Meanwhile, the USD and US stock market rallied to new heights, which is in a totally different direction from what most analysts predicted before the election. Quoting from one of the analysts in the article: “If Clinton wins, you get a big relief rally. If...

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Plagiarism or Co-incident? Coin sorting wallet designers clash on Kickstarter.

Ever since Kickstarter allows Singaporean creators to launch their projects in September, there has been a rush of projects being listed. Many did not manage to survive the harsh world of crowdfunding and a few will stand and gain media recognition. One of the project that succeeded in doing so is the KIN wallet. Designed by a team of students in the NUS School of Industry Design, the project managed to raise closed to $275,000 with 4 more hours to go. The key selling point of this wallet is that it is able to sort coins and notes into separate...

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An Extremely Quiet October. All Eyes on the US Presidential Elections

The month of October has been uncharacteristically quiet as the whole world turn their attention to the increasingly bitter US presidential election. The outbreak of a series of scandals related to how Donald Trump treat women has put the Republican nominee on an unfavorable front. However, team Clinton was again plagued by a resurfacing of the private email scandal initiated by the FBI when Hilary Clinton thought that she has put the matter to rest. The lead which Team Clinton built up over the past few weeks evaporated with new polls putting Team Clinton at a slight advantage. Investors,...

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5 Lessons for Small Publishers from the World’s Largest Board Game Convention: Spiel Essen 2016

When I first started writing about my adventures in the world of board game design and publishing, I thought that nobody will bother to read my blog. It seems like I was proven wrong. During my walk around Spiel Essen 2016 this year, I went around to say “Hi” to some of the new Asian board game designers and to my surprised, some of them actually recognized me and thanked me for sharing on my blog my Asian perspective of board game design and publishing. I was told that my article actually inspired by my article I wrote last year which...

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Kickstarter Changes Which Singaporean Creators Need to Watch Out For

At long last, Kickstarter is to be launched in Asia on 1st September, with Singapore and Hong Kong being the first two countries to benefit. Singapore Kickstarter creators need not go through the complicated process of looking for a overseas helper, or deal with complex offshore tax issues anymore. However, there are some fine points for Singaporean creators which will be different from creators from other countries and here are 3 points to look out for: Payment Processing Fee The payment processing fee for Singapore creators is generally higher. Singapore fees 4% + $0.30 SGD (micropledging rates for under 10 SGD of 5%...

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