We can’t change what has happened, nor can we wish the virus away.

Let me ask you one question:

Do you know more about what’s going to happen in the next 12 months today than you did back in January?

I don’t.

I have no idea.

Things change.

Things change all of the time.

The only thing certain is that the future is uncertain.

That was true in January and it is true now.

As Daniel Kahneman said, “The correct lesson to learn from surprises is that the world is surprising.”

That doesn’t feel too good, right?

Well, we all suffer from the Certainty Bias. Our mind’s pull for certainty has different consequences.  The mind likes nice, uncomplicated beliefs which can help us make sense of a situation.  Yet these beliefs often leave us trapped by our own – often false – perceptions.

Uncertainty is important.

Uncertainty

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