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Markets Will Tell Us We Know Less than We Think
By Investment Moats  •  February 26, 2021
Sometimes, I feel that markets is efficient in the long run to price in crowded trades. There were a lot of arguments about whether markets are really efficient. There will still be a lot. But I think people misunderstand what Eugene Fama means when he says the market is efficient. I think he is not saying that the market at this point, is pricing exactly and correctly what is going to happen in the future but that it is a better mechanism in pricing in what is going to happen in a more efficient manner than a lot of other things. We are not sure what will happen in the future, especially when different variables interact with different variables in the future. The market is better in forward pricing the resultant outcome better than a lot of methods financial experts have came up with. I am not arguing about the...
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By Investment Moats
Investment Moats is set up by Kyith Ng and have been around since 2005. He aims to share his experiences making sense of money, how money works and ways to grow his money. It hopes that by sharing his experiences, both good and bad, season investors can advice and critique his decisions and new investors can learn from them and find their own style ...
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