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Why it may be unwise to remain uninvested during the last four months of the year.
By Investment Moats  •  September 27, 2021
According to the seasonal performance of the markets, it seems we cannot afford not to invest in the markets for the last 3 months, especially November. Here is the average 1-month per cent change in the Dow Jones Industrial Average from 1880 to 2012: From this chart, it seems we have to stay invested from October to the end of January. I was in the mood, so I dug up the performance of S&P 500, MSCI World and MSCI Emerging Markets in these 4 months from 1999 to 2020: There are 22 periods during this analysis. The majority of this four-month period (1st Oct to 30th Jan) is positive. There were more negative occurrences for MSCI World and Emerging markets compared to S&P 500. Average returns have been positive, with Emerging markets having higher returns. However, this period is not foolproof. I think most four-month periods were rather...
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By Investment Moats
Investment Moats is set up by Kyith Ng and have been around since 2005. He aims to share his experiences making sense of money, how money works and ways to grow his money. It hopes that by sharing his experiences, both good and bad, season investors can advice and critique his decisions and new investors can learn from them and find their own style ...
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