I was reading a report by Blackrock recently. Here’s an excerpt: The Great Moderation, a long period of steady growth and low inflation, has ended in our view. We see macro and market volatility reverberating through the new regime. What changed? Production constraints triggered by the pandemic and the war in Ukraine are pressuring the economy and inflation. We see this persisting amid powerful structural trends like global fragmentation and sectoral shakeouts tied to the net-zero transition. We expect higher risk premia for both equities and bonds – so investment decisions and horizons must adapt more quickly. Traditional portfolios, hedges and risk models won’t work anymore, we think.
