In my weekend article, I predicted that 6-month T-Bills would continue their downtrend due to market expectations over interest rate cuts.
And while I was correct on the trend.
I was wildly incorrect on the magnitude of the move.
Because while I estimated a range of 3.55% – 3.65% on the 6-month T-Bills auction.
The final cut-off yield came in way below that at 3.40%.
While demand soars to a record high of $18 billion, far higher than any other auction we saw this cycle.
Let’s take a closer look at the numbers.
6-month T-Bills yields drop to 3.40% (BS24115A 6-Month T-bill)
You can see the cut-off yield for the latest T-Bills auction below.
At 3.40%, this is a huge drop from the 3.64% we saw at the previous auction.
T-Bills cut-off yields since Jan 2023 are charted below.
You can see how the massive drop in yields to 3.40% takes T-Bills yields to the lowest in the past 18 months....