Market Review and Trends
No Correction? There is Usually A Correction Before the US Election.
By Investment Moats  •  October 13, 2024
If you want to get invested or add to your position but are crying since you missed out on the last correction since the start of September, you be happy to note that seasonally, there should be some weakness before the election. The chart above, compiled by All Star Charts, shows the current S&P 500 calendar year performance against the index’s average performance during election years. Observe that there are some dips during the election years. If you want a more detail chart here is another: It is a choppy two weeks. The seasonality can be partly due to large market forces such as the actions of options dealers. This is the degree of support or weakness that I can gather:
  1. The Vanna and Charm flows will be supportive of the markets from now till 16th October Wednesday, which is the day where VIX call options will expire.
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By Investment Moats
Investment Moats is set up by Kyith Ng and have been around since 2005. He aims to share his experiences making sense of money, how money works and ways to grow his money. It hopes that by sharing his experiences, both good and bad, season investors can advice and critique his decisions and new investors can learn from them and find their own style ...
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