Market Review and Trends
The Massive Force Points to Major End-of-Year Upside Stock Market Move
By Investment Moats  •  October 25, 2024
How likely will there be a melt up till the end of the year? Cem Karsan of Kai Volatility joins Schwab Network to explain why the out-of-the-money calls are too cheap and we are likely to go higher. This can be seen as a continuation of my coverage after talking about a potential correction just before the election (which is the period we are currently in. Much of this topic is related to the massive forces due to options positioning that I talked about occasionally in the past such as this post: How the Options Market ends up Controlling the S&P 500 in 2021. Whether the election is traditionally a close fight or more confirm, people are worried about the outcome of the results of the US Presidential election and so they will buy puts to hedge their portfolio positions. The demand for the puts pushes the prices and the Delta of those puts up. This is what we call high skew, where...
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By Investment Moats
Investment Moats is set up by Kyith Ng and have been around since 2005. He aims to share his experiences making sense of money, how money works and ways to grow his money. It hopes that by sharing his experiences, both good and bad, season investors can advice and critique his decisions and new investors can learn from them and find their own style ...
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