Market Review and Trends
The Market Will Fall. Here’s Why That Shouldn’t Scare You.
By The Smart Investor  •  August 22, 2025
Here’s what few tell you about market declines: they’re not the exception. They’re the rule. When we look at Singapore’s Straits Times Index (SGX: ^STI), history gives us a sobering reality check. For the 32-year period between 1993 and 2024, the market experienced a peak-to-trough decline of 10 per cent or more in all but six of those years. Put another way, about eight out of every 10 years saw a market correction. Downturns of over 20 per cent are less frequent but still fairly common, happening in roughly one out of every three years. The enclosed graph provides a summary. Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence; Yahoo Finance; The Wall Street Journal; author’s calculation The odds are similar when we look at the US market. According to wealth manager Ben Carlson, the S&P 500 also experiences a 10 per cent correction about once every year-and-a-half or so. A bear market, defined as a fall of 20 per cent or more, historically hits the S&P 500 once every four years....
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By The Smart Investor
The Smart Investor is co-founded by David Kuo, Joanna Sng, and Chin Hui Leong. The company was formed in late 2019 from the ashes of the Motley Fool Singapore. The Smart Investor believes that everybody can learn how to invest, smartly. We aim to educate people on how to invest smartly by providing investing education, stock commentary and market coverage for Singapore and around the world.
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