At its narrowest point, the Straits of Hormuz is a mere 39km-wide waterway.
To put it in perspective, that is narrower than the distance from the eastern to the western side of Singapore (approximately 50km) – an area that is hardly noticeable on the world map.
And yet, a blockage of this tiny waterway is all it takes to take global trade down to its knees.
Just over this weekend, this vulnerability became a live crisis: after a fleeting attempt to reopen the waterway last week, a renewed military standoff has once again choked off the flow of 20 million barrels of oil per day, sending Brent crude prices surging back towards the US$100 mark.
Nonetheless, here are some signals investors can watch for to ride out the storm.
Energy Supply & Price
Around 20% of global oil supplies are transported through the narrow Straits of Hormuz.
Thus, a disruption in this narrow waterway instantly creates an acute squeeze on global oil supply,...