The AI bull run rests on three pillars: massive AI spending, massive earnings expectations, and unshakable confidence that adoption keeps climbing. In this video I walk through 10 extreme scenarios that could reverse it — from the boring-but-likely Spending Cliff to the catastrophic tail risk of a full Taiwan invasion — and map them on a likelihood-vs-impact chart.
None of these require AI to fail. They only require one extreme certainty to prove false. The lesson isn't to predict which one hits. It's to size your equity exposure to a portion you can actually stomach through a 30–50% drawdown — and keep the rest compounding on safer ground.
This is educational content, not investment advice. Always do your own research.
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