Shares & Derivatives
Singapore Post:Falling Mail Profits may worry
By Investment Moats  •  February 11, 2010
[caption id="attachment_1634" align="alignright" width="150" caption="Photo by { shine }"]Photo by { shine }[/caption] One of the favorite grandfather stock that gives good dividends on a business that is predictable and survives well in recession. I won’t be doing a full review on this stock but would rather take a look at its nine month operating performance and give an opinion about it. The key thing for investors looking to invest in it is: Replacement of Mail Equipment in 2013-2014 Singapore Post would need some 150 mil of capital expenditure to replace their equipments then. The beauty of Singapore Post is that capital expenditure is normally pretty low. Any business that makes 130mil operating cashflow and needing 10 mil in capex is good business. SingPost have 4 years to come up with 150 mil. Will they cut their 6.25 cents div because of this? There is a chance but may not be likely. Lets just say that this business the earnings and cashflow are pretty predictable. Dividend payout for 6.25 cents comes up to full year 120 mil Their Operating Cashflow comes up to 170 mil CAPEX will come up to 10 mil tops 170-120-10 comes up to 40 mil. If they can maintain that for 4 years they should finance that 150 mil pretty well

Paying Higher Terminal Dues from Jan 2010

Effective Jan 10, Singpost has to pay higher terminal dues for international outbound mails, as Singapore is now re-classified as a developed country in the postal world. Management guided this could have an adverse impact of up to 5% on earnings, although they would try to minimize it. Read more...
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By Investment Moats
Investment Moats is set up by Kyith Ng and have been around since 2005. He aims to share his experiences making sense of money, how money works and ways to grow his money. It hopes that by sharing his experiences, both good and bad, season investors can advice and critique his decisions and new investors can learn from them and find their own style ...
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