Technical Analysis
Historical Presidential Cycle
By Investment Moats  •  August 17, 2013

Presidential Cycles are seasonal cycles that many say it is just coincidence but put the quantitative data together here, you can’t say there isn’t a pattern there:

Historical Presidential Cycle 4hp4RIh  

First chart is courtesy of All Star Charts JC Parets who warns that we are now entering the worse time of the presidential cycle.

This chart shows 48 months, starting from post presidential election, the second year of the presidential election, the pre-next election year and finally the next election year.

From this, statistically, the coming 1 year period tends to be lukewarm.

Historical Presidential Cycle usVkKry

Another person that spots this was Tom McClellan (the son of the guy who found the McClellan indicator) In his case, this chart looks at the pattern for second term presidents. smaller sample set, but looks rather weak as well.

It looks like folks who are looking for a period to add some value stocks could have a window ...

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By Investment Moats
Investment Moats is set up by Kyith Ng and have been around since 2005. He aims to share his experiences making sense of money, how money works and ways to grow his money. It hopes that by sharing his experiences, both good and bad, season investors can advice and critique his decisions and new investors can learn from them and find their own style ...
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