Shares & Derivatives
A quick stress test on CM pacific
By Sillyinvestor  •  February 16, 2016
Taken from 2014 AR. The bulk of loans are loans F and G which are in USD and depend on BBA libor rate. CMPH loans are all amortized Assume 7.78 HKD to 1 USD and interest rate as what is stated in 2014 AR. The amount of money to be paid over the next few years including interest cost are: 2016: 703 mio HKD 2017: 751 mio HKD 2018: 890 mio HKD 2019: 879 mio HKD Capex for 2015 9M is the highest for the last 6 years, at 150 mio. Assume A higher capex of 200 mio  due to more expressways and the fact that Guixing is not fully completed. And that they need to pay 743 mio HKD. As dividends for the enlarged base They need to generate OCF of 1.66 billion of HKD, and they need to add 100 mio for Q4. Not tall order......
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By Sillyinvestor
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