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Did Investors Overpay For Growth Companies Last Year?
By The Good Investors  •  March 15, 2022
Investors who have had a vested interest in high-growth stocks in the past year, myself included, have (to put it mildly) experienced steep drawdowns. This begs the question, did we overpay for these companies?  Many high-growth stocks in early 2021 were trading at high valuations and it was not uncommon to find such stocks trading at price-to-sales (P/S) multiples of more than 30. Their P/S multiples have since collapsed. Was that just too expensive or are multiples too cheap now? Mapping the future To answer this question, we need to make certain assumptions about the future. Let’s make the following conservative assumptions. First, in 10 years’ time, a company’s valuation multiple will contract and will then trade between 25 to 40 times free cash flow. Second let’s assume the business in question can have a 20% free cash flow margin by then. The table below shows a scenario of a...
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By The Good Investors
We are Chong Ser Jing and Jeremy Chia, and we started The Good Investors in the aftermath of The Motley Fool Singapore’s closure in late 2019. We both have a passion for stock market investing and believe deeply in enriching society through our investing activities. One way we can do so is through investor-education. The Good Investors is our personal investing blog and will serve as a free platform for both of us to openly share our investing thoughts with you.
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