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Risk-Free Rates and Stocks
By The Good Investors  •  March 3, 2023
What happens to stocks when risk-free rates are high? Theoretically, when risk-free rates are high, stocks should fall in price – why would anyone invest in stocks if they can earn 8%, risk-free? But as Yogi Berra was once believed to have said, “In theory, there is no difference between practice and theory. In practice, there is.” Ben Carlson is the Director of Institutional Asset Management at Ritholtz Wealth Management. He published a blog post recently, titled Will High Risk-Free Rates Derail the Stock Market?, where he looked at the relationship between US stock market returns and US government interest rates. It turns out there’s no clear link between the two. In the 1950s, the 3-month Treasury bill (which is effectively a risk-free investment, since it’s a US government bond with one of the shortest maturities around) had a low average yield of 2.0%; US stocks returned 19.5% annually back then, a phenomenal gainIn the 2000s, US stocks fell by 1.0%...
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By The Good Investors
We are Chong Ser Jing and Jeremy Chia, and we started The Good Investors in the aftermath of The Motley Fool Singapore’s closure in late 2019. We both have a passion for stock market investing and believe deeply in enriching society through our investing activities. One way we can do so is through investor-education. The Good Investors is our personal investing blog and will serve as a free platform for both of us to openly share our investing thoughts with you.
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