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STI Analysis — the next peak and trough ? (52)
By ccloh Strategic Investor Zone  •  August 31, 2019
Continued from STI Analysis -- the next peak and trough ? (51)

STI-2
STI hit an intra-day low of 3040.16 on 29th Aug 2019, breaking below the 3054 (Fibonacci retracement 78.6%) level.  Despite ending the week with a rebound to 3106.52, the probability remains high that the STI-2 wave count is going to be invalidated.  Conservatively, 90% of the time when a so-called wave 2 hit below 78.6% Fibonacci retracement it will go on to invalidate that wave count.  However, it is still not the time to fully rule out this scenario.  By the rule of Elliott wave principle, invalidate wave count occurs when any of the 3 rules is broken.  In this case, this scenario can only be mathematically impossible when STI continues the descend and falls below 2955.68.  For those who still believe in the bullishness going forward, pray hard STI will not breakdown at 2955.68. 

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By ccloh Strategic Investor Zone
Am a typical retail investor who started investing in stock market in 1993, the same length of period as SingTel was listed in SGX and ironically SingTel was my first vested stock. Back then was a passive investor and started to turn more active in stock market in 2006. A year later when I switched my engineering job to a finance related one, I became what commonly known as trader ( trade for living ) and at the same time also strongly believe in fundamental/value investing that is the way to growth wealth. In a way I classify myself as a "Strategic Investor". As a trader, I track market movement daily and as an value investor, I am always on the lookout for cheap bargain to hold for long term.
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