Stocks valuations are as cheap as they have ever been in the last decade.
Notice how I don’t see prices, because on a price basis, we certainly aren’t as cheap as they were in 2008. The reason why I don’t like looking at price alone is that it fails to take into account the years of economic productivity.
Businesses have made money in the last few years, which were either paid or to shareholders in dividends, or are represented in earnings which are retained in the company.
There’s a certain danger in anchoring to the last “crisis”, simply because the price then and now reflects a different situation.
I can imagine someone in 2009 thinking that prices hadn’t hit the all time lows of 1997 (Asian Financial Crisis), or 2001 (Terrorist Bombings of 2001), or even 2003 (SARS Crisis in South Easy Asia), and always waiting for a “better deal”.
The ......